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Mark Matney

Publications and source records attributed to Mark Matney.

At least 37 records · Page 2

Flux Comparison of Master-8 And Ordem 3.1 Modelled Space Debris Population

In this paper, the modelled debris fluxes by ESA’s Meteoroid And Space debris Terrestrial Environment Reference (MASTER-8) model and NASA’s Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM) 3.1 are compared. At first, the basic modelling approaches for both models are presented to explain the fundamentally different model philosophies and help the reader to comprehend and interpret the obtained results. Then, the flux results of both models for three different orbits are presented and analysed. They are discussed and set into perspective. A conclusion is drawn at the end of the paper, highlighting the ongoing cooperation of both agencies responsible for their models.

Andre Horstmann

Radar Observations from the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar in 2019

The NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) conducts radar measurements of the low Earth orbit (LEO) orbital debris environment on a continual basis for monitoring and to enable modeling of the environment over time. Radar observations from the Haystack Ultra-wideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR) in 2019 are the most recent snapshot of the environment to date that has been both measured and analyzed. HUSIR provides data on orbital debris in LEO down to a NASA size estimation model (SEM) size of approximately 5.5 mm, depending upon altitude and year-to -year variation in the sensitivity of the radar. This is of interest as it is the millimeter-sized orbital debris that drives mission-ending risk to robotic spacecraft in LEO. This paper will explore the results of the 2019 HUSIR radar measurements, including above-average flux measurements at lower LEO altitudes and the evolution of the flux during the time of observations.

James Murray

Some Unexpected Risks from Lunar Ejecta

Human or robotic operations on the lunar surface or other airless bodies are vulnerable not just to direct impacts from meteoroids, but by impacts of meteoroids or asteroids elsewhere on the planetary surface excavating a large mass of high-speed ejecta that may in turn impact the asset. While this ejecta environment has been known since Apollo days, recent analysis of this risk has uncovered some interesting and unexpected properties of the ejecta environment. This includes a non-trivial contribution from nearby primary impacts (within a few tens of meters) where the ejecta impact the asset while still ascending from the planetary surface, over and above the more “traditional” ejecta component that descends from above. In addition, the outsized contribution to the ejecta risk from nearby primary impacts (within a few tens of kilometers) relative to impacts far away means that the flux on an asset will show considerable stochastic variability, such that a simple average flux may not reveal the full impact risk to a mission. This presentation will describe some of these phenomena and offer suggestions for how these risks can be better calculated to ensure mission safety.

Mark Matney

Observations of Small Debris from the Cosmos 1408 Anti-Satellite Test using the HUSIR and Goldstone Radars

On 15 November 2021, Russia conducted a direct-ascent, anti-satellite (ASAT) test against its Cosmos 1408 satellite, which had been in orbit since 1982. The test produced at least 1500 fragments trackable by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network (SSN). This is a significant event because the resulting cloud has the potential to endanger the International Space Station and other satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO).For almost 30 years, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has been using the Haystack Ultrawideband Imaging Radar (HUSIR), located in Tyngsborough, Massachusetts and operated by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Lincoln Laboratory, to perform statistical measurements of debris in LEO too small to be tracked by the SSN, nominally down to 5.5 mm at 1000 km altitude. The ODPO also utilizes the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar (Goldstone), located near Barstow, California and operated by the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, to characterize the small debris environment in LEO down to approximately 3 mm at 1000 km altitude. To characterize the small debris component of the Cosmos 1408 ASAT test, a series of observation campaigns were conducted with the HUSIR and Goldstone radars. This paper discusses the observation planning, including beam overlap analysis required for the Goldstone’s bistatic operation, using a model of the debris cloud produced using the NASA Standard Satellite Breakup Model. A description of the radars and the data processing techniques used to analyze the data are also discussed. Finally, results of the measurement campaigns including cumulative flux versus size, altitude, and inclination are presented.

James Murray

Observations of Small Debris from the Cosmos 1408 Anti-Satellite Test using the HUSIR and Goldstone Radars

On 15 November 2021, Russia conducted a direct-ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) test against its Cosmos 1408 satellite, which had been in orbit since 1982. The test produced at least 1500 fragments trackable by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network (SSN). The test is a significant event because the resulting cloud has the potential to endanger the International Space Station and other satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO). For almost 30 years, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has used the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR), operated by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Lincoln Laboratory to perform statistical measurements of debris in LEO too small to be tracked by the SSN, nominally down to 5.5 mm at 1000 km altitude. The ODPO also utilizes the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar (Goldstone), operated by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, to characterize the small debris environment in LEO down to approximately 3 mm at 1000 km altitude. To characterize the small debris component of the Cosmos 1408 ASAT test, a series of observation campaigns were conducted with the HUSIR and Goldstone radars. This paper discusses the observation planning, including beam overlap analysis needed for Goldstone bistatic operation, using a model of the debris cloud produced with the NASA Standard Satellite Breakup Model. A description of the radars and the data processing techniques used to analyze the data are also discussed. Finally, results of the measurement campaigns including cumulative count rate versus size and surface area flux versus altitude and inclination are presented

James Murray

Optimizing Altitude Sampling and Sensitivity with the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar

The NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has used the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar (Goldstone) since 1993 to characterize orbital debris (OD) in low Earth orbit too small to be tracked by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network. Operated by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Goldstone can measure OD as small as 3 mm at 1000 km altitude and lower. Goldstone is a bistatic radar that for 25 years used Deep Space Station (DSS)-14 as a transmitter and DSS-15 as a receiver. In early 2018, DSS-15 was decommissioned and replaced with DSS-25 (and occasionally DSS-26) of the Deep Space Network Apollo Cluster. The increased baseline between DSS-14 and DSS-25 significantly reduced the instantaneous altitude coverage of the bistatic beam overlap. Initial measurements in 2018 were focused around 800 km, which has approximately the highest flux of sub-centimeter debris. In 2019, DSS-14 was offline for maintenance, and the ODPO designed an annual survey observation plan to efficiently sample altitudes from 700 km to 1000 km, since many NASA satellites fly in this range. This paper discusses the observation plan, including the development of the pointings, a refinement of the altitudes of interest, and an analysis of the effects of random pointing errors on beam overlap. Additionally, results from measurements taken in 2020 and 2021 are presented, showing that not only is the observation plan effective at sampling 700 km to 1000 km altitude, but it is also producing the most sensitive terrestrial radar measurements at these altitudes to date.

James Murray

An Overview of Ground-Based Radar and Optical Measurements Utilized By the Nasa Orbital Debris Program Office

For over 30 years, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has led the characterization of orbital debris (OD) too small to be tracked by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network (SSN), yet which may pose the greatest threat to human spaceflight and robotic missions. Measurements from specialized sensors, including ground-based radars and telescopes capable of detecting smaller objects, provide the foundation for developing statistical models to describe the current state and future evolution of the OD environment from low Earth orbit (LEO) to geosynchronous Earth orbit (GEO). Since 1990, the ODPO has partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to collect data using the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR) – formerly Haystack – to characterize OD in LEO with a sensitivity of approximately 5 mm at 1000 km altitude. In addition, since 1993, the Goldstone Orbital Debris Radar, operated by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, has provided data on OD as small as approximately 2-3 mm for altitudes below 1000 km, some of the most sensitive ground-based measurements achievable at these altitudes. Recently, collaborations with the 18 th Space Control Squadron of the U.S. Space Force have also provided the ODPO with special datasets from the Space Fence to extend coverage below the historical SSN limit of 10 cm and to characterize individual breakup events in LEO. For GEO altitudes, the Eugene Stansbery Meter Class Autonomous Telescope (ES-MCAT), a joint NASA-Air Force Research Laboratory project that reached full operational capability in 2021, collects data on debris smaller than 1 m and provides coverage of debris in historically under-sampled high-altitude orbital regimes. This paper summarizes the radar and optical sensors utilized by the ODPO, their unique capabilities, and recent datasets and applications for statistical sampling of the dynamic OD environment.

Alyssa Manis

Radar Measurements of Orbital Debris from the Haystack Ultra-wideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR): 2020 to 2022

For over three decades, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to collect radar data on the orbital debris (OD) environment. These radar measurements are used to statistically measure cm and sub-cm debris in low Earth orbit (LEO) that is used to define the current debris environment, monitor how the environment evolves, and support predictions of the future debris environment. Currently, the principal ground-based radar sensor used by the ODPO is the MIT/LL Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR). HUSIR provides data on OD down to approximately 5 mm in size at altitudes below 1000 km. This paper will deliver an overview of recent HUSIR measurements of the LEO debris environment for calendar years 2020 to 2022. Process improvements will be highlighted along with results of interest, including the effects of the 15 November 2021 Russian direct ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) test on the defunct COSMOS 1408 spacecraft.

Jessica A. Arnold

Statistical Approach on Utilizing Ground-based Experiments to Model Break-up Events

Two laboratory-based impact tests have been conducted to develop and extend the capability of NASA satellite breakup models. The first experiment, the Satellite Orbital Debris Characterization Impact Test (SOCIT), was conducted by the U.S. Department of Defense and NASA in 1992. It employed a fully functional U.S. Navy Transit spacecraft, fabricated from materials commonly used in the 1960s. SOCIT fragmentation data formed the basis of the current NASA Standard Satellite Breakup Model (SSBM). A second experiment, DebriSat, was conducted in 2014 by the DebriSat consortium: the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office; the United States Space Force Space Systems Command, formerly the Air Force Space and Missile Systems Center, the Air Force Arnold Engineering Development Complex, and the University of Florida. This impact test was performed on a high-fidelity mock-up satellite assembled from modern components. Data from both experiments are expected to contribute to the next-generation models for on-orbit breakup analyses, long-term environment predictions, and debris risk assessment. This paper uses the direct statistical sampling of the SOCIT and DebriSat data ensembles to model an on-orbit breakup event, rather than the analytic expressions estimated from the samples as with as with the NASA SSBM and its predecessor. This direct method involves drawing fragments (i.e., sampling with replacement) from each fragmentation data-subset containing mass, shape category, material density, characteristic length, mass, and cross-sectional area. As part of the sampling process, the properties of sampled fragment data (e.g., area-to-mass ratios) are numerically checked to ensure they do not contain unrealistic quantities. The process to simulate a breakup cloud composed of fragments from SOCIT and DebriSat datasets is discussed. The methodology for ensuring that conservation of overall mass of the sampled fragment cloud under this sampling approach is highlighted. Finally, the results are compared with simulated clouds generated from SSBM for specific historical breakup events.

Andrew Vavrin

An Overview of NASA’s Newest Engineering Model, ORDEM 4.0

Since the mid-1990s, one of the most important products produced by the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has been the Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM). This series of models distills down our knowledge of the orbital debris environment to compute debris fluxes on satellites in a given orbit. This information can be used by spacecraft and upper stage designers and operators to design missions for better protection against the debris environment. The current version of the model is ORDEM 3.2, but the ODPO is working on the next generation of ORDEM, to be designated ORDEM 4.0. ORDEM 4.0 will include many known features from previous models, such as the ability to input a spacecraft orbit and time and to compute the flux as a function of debris size, impact speed, impact direction, and debris material densities, as well as uncertainty information on the flux. ORDEM 4.0 will update debris populations using the most recent measurements, including radar observations by the Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR), NASA’s Goldstone radar, data from the new Space Surveillance Network Space Fence, and observations of Geosynchronous Earth Orbits (GEO) using the Eugene Stansbery-Meter Class Autonomous Telescope (ES-MCAT). The latest in situ impact data from returned hardware surfaces will be used. In addition, ORDEM 4.0 will introduce a parameterized debris shape model based on laboratory hypervelocity impact tests, such as DebriSat. This will allow analysts to implement shape characteristics in their damage equations and more accurately predict impact damage risk by debris of different shapes and orientations. This paper provides an overview of some of the new features forthcoming in ORDEM 4.0 and a status report on its development.

Mark Matney

Misconceptions and Reality of Orbital Debris Risk

Since the formal commissioning of the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office in the 1970s, the risks of orbital debris have gradually become more widely known to the community of space experts. The subject has even entered the mainstream of popular culture (e.g., the 2013 film “Gravity”). Growth in professional and public interest has been mirrored by a growth in misconceptions concerning the nature and scope of orbital debris risks and how to “fix the problem.” This is a global issue, both complicated and potentially expensive, so it is important that problem solvers and policy makers ask the correct questions and address the right problems. This paper will identify and clarify a select number of these misconceptions and highlight the best cost-effective solutions.

Mark Matney

Radar Measurements of Orbital Debris from the Haystack Ultra-wideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR): 2020-2021

For over three decades, the NASA Orbital Debris Program Office (ODPO) has partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Lincoln Laboratory (MIT/LL) to collect radar data on the orbital debris (OD) environment. These radar measurements are used to statistically measure centimeter (cm) and sub-cm debris in low Earth orbit (LEO) that is used to define the current debris environment, monitor how the environment evolves, and support predictions of the future debris environment. Currently, the principal ground-based radar sensor used by the ODPO is the MIT/LL Haystack Ultrawideband Satellite Imaging Radar (HUSIR). HUSIR provides data on OD down to approximately 5 mm in size at altitudes below 1000 km. This paper will deliver an overview of recent HUSIR measurements of the LEO debris environment for calendar years 2020 to 2022. Process improvements will be highlighted along with results of interest, including the effects of the 15 November 2021 Russian direct ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) test on the defunct Cosmos 1408 spacecraft.

Jessica A Arnold