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Luis Baars

Publications and source records attributed to Luis Baars.

Effect of Cross-Correlation of Orbital Error on Probability of Collision Determination

This paper discusses the effect of global model error on probability of collision (Pc) determination. Modifications to the Pc formulation for cross-correlation of orbital error in prediction are developed and assessed for recent conjunctions. While specific geometries can be identified or constructed to produce significant change in Pc for the modified formulation, it is of operational interest to quanti- fy the relative occurrence of such cases for satellite conjunction risk assessment. Large-scale analysis is feasible per data collections in place over the past year.

Steve Casali↗

Processing Space Fence Radar Cross-Section Data to produce size and mass estimates

With the addition of the Space Fence (SFK) radar to the Space Surveillance Network (SSN), the NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team now has access to radar cross-section (RCS) measurements for many Earth orbiting satellites. The CARA team has developed a process to estimate satellite sizes and masses from the SFK RCS measurement data. This study describes the processes used to filter the RCS data, defines the algorithms used to esti-mate satellite sizes and masses, and presents comparisons of estimated values against known satellite sizes and masses.

Radar Cross-Section↗

Processing Space Fence RCS Data for Hard-Body Radius and Mass Estimation

With the addition of the Space Fence (SFK) radar to the Space Surveillance Network (SSN), the NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team now has access to radar cross-section (RCS) measurements for many Earth orbiting satellites. The CARA team has developed a process to estimate satellite sizes and masses from the SFK RCS measurement data. This study describes the processes used to filter the RCS data, defines the algorithms used to estimate satellite sizes and masses, and presents comparisons of estimated values against known nanosat sizes and masses.

Luis Baars↗

NASA CARA Tools

The NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis (CARA) team has created and posted to GitHub a set of MATLAB software tools for collision assessment (CA) analysis. The software is provided to the public under a NASA Open-Source Software Agreement and is maintained/updated by the CARA Analysis team. Capabilities provided within the toolset include algorithms in assessing probability of collision (Pc), collision consequence, covariance realism, Orbit Determination (OD) quality assessment, and single covariance max Pc. Additionally, a set of utilities are provided for astrodynamics topics closely related to CA, such as: Conjunction Data Message (CDM) parsing, covariance transformations, coordinate system transformations, etc. The repository is regularly updated on a monthly basis and new functionality will be added as algorithms are approved for public release. This presentation will provide a brief introduction to the toolset, highlight some of the key components which can be used in operations, and will present information on algorithms that are in the release pipeline and can be expected soon. This software will enable operators to independently perform CA calculations using the same core algorithms that CARA uses in operations.

Luis Baars↗