Engineering Papers⌕ Search

Engineering topics

Loring, Burlen

Publications and source records attributed to Loring, Burlen.

Identifying atmospheric rivers and their poleward latent heat transport with generalizable neural networks: ARCNNv1

Abstract. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that can alleviate drought or cause billions of US dollars in flood damage. By transporting significant amounts of latent energy towards the poles, they are crucial to maintaining the climate system's energy balance. Since there is no first-principle definition of an AR grounded in geophysical fluid mechanics, AR identification is currently performed by a multitude of expert-defined, threshold-based algorithms. The variety of AR detection algorithms has introduced uncertainty into the study of ARs, and the thresholds of the algorithms may not generalize to new climate datasets and resolutions. We train convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to detect ARs while representing this uncertainty; we name these models ARCNNs. To detect ARs without requiring new labeled data and labor-intensive AR detection campaigns, we present a semi-supervised learning framework based on image style transfer. This framework generalizes ARCNNs across climate datasets and input fields. Using idealized and realistic numerical models, together with observations, we assess the performance of the ARCNNs. We test the ARCNNs in an idealized simulation of a shallow-water fluid in which nearly all the tracer transport can be attributed to AR-like filamentary structures. In reanalysis and a high-resolution climate model, we use ARCNNs to calculate the contribution of ARs to meridional latent heat transport, and we demonstrate that this quantity varies considerably due to AR detection uncertainty.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Atmospheric Rivers in the Eastern and Midwestern United States Associated With Baroclinic Waves

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) significantly impact the hydrological cycle and associated extremes in western continental regions. Recent studies suggest ARs also influence water resources and extremes in continental interiors. AR detection tools indicate that AR conditions are relatively frequent in areas east of the Rocky Mountains. The origin of these ARs, whether from synoptic-scale waves or mesoscale processes, is unclear. This study uses meteorological composite maps and transects of AR conditions during the four seasons. The analysis reveals that ARs east of the Rockies are associated with long-wave, baroclinic Rossby waves. This result demonstrates that eastern North American ARs are dynamically similar to their western coastal counterparts, though mechanisms for vertical moisture flux differ between the two. These findings provide a foundation for understanding future climate change and ARs in this region and offer new methods for evaluating climate model simulations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Extensions to the SENSEI In situ Framework for Heterogeneous Architectures

The proliferation of GPUs and accelerators in recent supercomputing systems, so called heterogeneous architectures, has led to increased complexity in execution environments and programming models as well as to deeper memory hierarchies on these systems. In this work, we discuss challenges that arise in in situ code coupling on these heterogeneous architectures. In particular, we present data and execution model extensions to the SENSEI in situ framework that are targeted at the effective use of systems with heterogeneous architectures. We then use these new data and execution model extensions to investigate several in situ placement and execution configurations and to analyze the impact these choices have on overall performance.

Loring, Burlen↗

The Relationship Between African Easterly Waves and Tropical Cyclones in Historical and Future Climates in the HighResMIP‐PRIMAVERA Simulations

Abstract The deadly and destructive nature of tropical cyclones (TCs) makes understanding their response to future climate change of the utmost importance. TC genesis hinges on multiple factors, including an initial disturbance. African easterly waves (AEWs) have been shown to serve as such disturbances for TCs developing in the North Atlantic. It is therefore crucial to understand the relationship between AEWs and TCs and how this relationship may be affected by climate change. In this study, we examine the AEW‐TC relationship in historical and future climates using three models from the HighResMIP PRIMAVERA simulations. The AEWs and TCs were tracked in the model data using objective tracking algorithms, and AEW and TC tracks were then matched together if they were close to each other in space and time. The strength of the AEWs was measured using the eddy kinetic energy and the curvature vorticity of the waves. TC strength and intensity were measured using potential intensity and lifetime maximum 10 m windspeed. We found that future changes in the frequency of AEWs are not a good indicator of future TC activity. However, AEW strength, as well as environmental conditions conducive to strong TCs, are good indicators of AEWs that develop into TCs in both historical and future climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characteristics and Variability of Winter Northern Pacific Atmospheric River Flavors

Abstract Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are intensive poleward moisture transport events that are essential to the global hydrological cycle and are often linked to extreme weather events. We categorize the winter North Pacific ARs into two “flavors”: wind‐dominated (windy ARs) and moisture‐dominated (wet ARs) using 40 years of hourly data from fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis. We compare the differences between windy ARs and wet ARs including the lifecycle characteristics (such as genesis locations and changes of meteorological elements through the lifecycle), overall AR frequency, landfall impacts, and variability. The windy ARs are more likely to occur in the midlatitudes, while wet ARs are more active in the subtropics. Windy ARs are associated with intensive surface pressure lows, where the strong pressure gradient can support the strong wind within ARs. Due to larger size and longer lifetime, wet ARs are more likely to produce more precipitation over a lifecycle. By scaling the landfalling ARs, we show that wet ARs dominate the high‐category ARs (Category 4 and 5) with higher spatial frequency and more precipitation, and windy ARs have higher contributions in the lower AR categories especially over British Columbia. Windy ARs are modulated by El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections via the anomalous geopotential height and extended subtropical jet. Wet ARs are affected by the anomalous sea surface temperature over the midlatitudes related to ENSO. Sensitivity analysis with an alternate AR detection algorithm shows consistent results on AR flavors but with disagreement on the amplitude.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Future Changes in Active and Inactive Atlantic Hurricane Seasons in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model

Abstract North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) have considerable interannual variability, with La Niña and the positive phase of the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM) tending to drive active hurricane seasons, and El Niño and the negative AMM often driving inactive seasons. Here, we analyze how active and inactive Atlantic hurricane seasons may change in the future using the high resolution Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). We performed atmosphere‐only simulations forced by sea‐surface temperature patterns characteristic of La Niña and the positive AMM jointly, and El Niño and the negative AMM jointly, in historical and future climates. Projected Atlantic TCs become more frequent in the future by approximately 34% during El Niño and negative AMM and by 66% during La Niña and positive AMM, with a significant increase in the portion of intense TCs. Warmer SSTs increase TC potential intensity, with reduced wind shear and increased mid‐tropospheric humidity further supporting TC activity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A framework for detection and attribution of regional precipitation change: Application to the United States historical record

Abstract Despite the emerging influence of anthropogenic climate change on the global water cycle, at regional scales the combination of observational uncertainty, large internal variability, and modeling uncertainty undermine robust statements regarding the human influence on precipitation. Here, we use output from global climate models in a perfect-data sense to develop a framework for conducting regional detection and attribution (D&A) for precipitation, starting with the contiguous United States (CONUS) where observational uncertainty is lower than in other regions. Our unified approach can simultaneously detect systematic trends in mean and extreme precipitation, attribute trends to anthropogenic forcings, compute the effects of forcings as a function of time, and map the effects of individual forcings. Model output is used to conduct a set of tests that yield a parsimonious representation for characterizing seasonal precipitation over the CONUS for the historical record (1900 to present day), which ensures our D&A is insensitive to structural uncertainty. Our framework is developed using synthetic data in a Pearl-causal perspective wherein causality can be identified using intervention-based simulations. While the hypothesis-based framework and accompanying generalized D&A formula we develop should be widely applicable, we include a strong caution that the hypothesis-guided simplification of the formula for the historical climatic record of CONUS as described in this paper will likely fail to hold in other geographic regions and under future warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The SENSEI Generic In Situ Interface: Tool and Processing Portability at Scale [Book Chapter]

One key challenge when doing in situ processing is the investment required to add code to numerical simulations needed to take advantage of in situ processing. Such instrumentation code is often specialized, and tailored to a specific in situ method or infrastructure. Then, if a simulation wants to use other in situ tools, each of which has its own bespoke API [4], then the simulation code team will quickly become overwhelmed with having a different set of instrumentation APIs, one per in situ tool or method. In an ideal situation, such instrumentation need happen only once, and then the instrumentation API provides access to a large diversity of tools. In this way, a data producer’s instrumentation need not be modified if the user desires to take advantage of a different set of in situ tools. The SENSEI generic in situ interface addresses this challenge, which means that SENSEI-instrumented codes enjoy the benefit of being able to use a diversity of tools at scale, tools that include Libsim, Catalyst, Ascent, as well as user-defined methods written in C++ or Python. SENSEI has been shown to scale to greater than 1M-way concurrency on HPC platforms, and provides support for a rich and diverse collection of common scientific data models. Furthermore, this chapter presents the key design challenges that enable tool and processing portability at scale, some performance analysis, and example science applications of the methods.

Bethel, E. Wes↗

Proximity Portability and in Transit , M-to-N Data Partitioning and Movement in SENSEI [Book Chapter]

In high-performance parallel in situ processing, the term in transit processing refers to those configurations where data must move from a producer to a consumer that runs on separate resources. In the context of parallel and distributed computing on an HPC platform one of the central challenges is to determine a mapping of data from producer ranks to consumer ranks. This problem is complicated by the heterogeneity that arises in producer-consumer pairs, such as when producer and consumer codes have different levels of concurrency, different scaling characteristics, or different data models. The resulting mapping and movement of data from M producer to N consumer ranks can have a significant impact on aggregate application performance, particularly when the data consumer requires only a subset of the overall data for its task. This chapter focuses on the design considerations that underlie SENSEI’s implementation to this challenging problem. These design considerations extend the core SENSEI architecture and include ideas like the need to accommodate flexibility in the choice of different partitioning methods, the ability for a data consumer to request and receive only the subset of data needed for its particular operation, and the ability to leverage any of several different data transport tools. The idea of proximity portability, being able to use different data transport methods as part of an in transit workflow, is illustrated through the use of three different transport layers where switching from one transport tool to another is accomplished with only a configuration file change. Here, the chapter also includes a performance analysis summary showing the performance gains that are possible in terms of multiple metrics, such as memory footprint, time to solution, and amount of data moved, when using optimized partitioners in an in transit setting, gains that are made possible by the implementation shaped by specific design considerations.

Bethel, E. Wes↗

HAMR - Heterogeneous Accelerator Memory Resource (HAMR) v1.0

HAMR is a library defining an accelerator technology agnostic memory model that bridges between accelerator technologies (CUDA, HIP, ROCm, OpenMP, Sycl, OpenCL, Kokos, etc) and traditional CPUs in heterogeneous computing environments. HAMR is light weight and implemented in modern C++. HAMR can be used to manage memory with in a single code or as a data model for coupling codes in a technologically agnostic way. HAMR provides a Python module for coupling C++ and Python codes which implements zero-copy data transfers to and from Python using the Numpy array interface and Numba CUDA array interface protocols.

Loring, Burlen↗