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Liu, Xiaofeng

Publications and source records attributed to Liu, Xiaofeng.

Increasing phosphorus loss despite widespread concentration decline in US rivers

The loss of phosphorous (P) from the land to aquatic systems has polluted waters and threatened food production worldwide. Systematic trend analysis of P, a nonrenewable resource, has been challenging, primarily due to sparse and inconsistent historical data. Here, we leveraged intensive hydrometeorological data and the recent renaissance of deep learning approaches to fill data gaps and reconstruct temporal trends. We trained a multitask long short-term memory model for total P (TP) using data from 430 rivers across the contiguous United States (CONUS). Trend analysis of reconstructed daily records (1980–2019) shows widespread decline in concentrations, with declining, increasing, and insignificantly changing trends in 60%, 28%, and 12% of the rivers, respectively. Concentrations in urban rivers have declined the most despite rising urban population in the past decades; concentrations in agricultural rivers however have mostly increased, suggesting not-as-effective controls of nonpoint sources in agriculture lands compared to point sources in cities. TP loss, calculated as fluxes by multiplying concentration and discharge, however exhibited an overall increasing rate of 6.5% per decade at the CONUS scale over the past 40 y, largely due to increasing river discharge. Results highlight the challenge of reducing TP loss that is complicated by changing river discharge in a warming climate.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Mechanistic definition and prediction of the mass exchange coefficient between rivers and hyporheic zones: The $α$ of two $Ω$s

Solute transport in interconnected rivers and hyporheic zones is typically modeled through dual-domain models where first-order solute mass transfer between the two domains, Ω R and Ω HZ , is represented by a coefficient α. The transient storage model (TSM) is an example of such an approach. In practice, α is determined by fitting the tails of solute tracer breakthrough curves using a TSM. This approach has led to ambiguity regarding α’s physical meaning and transferability. Here, in this work, we investigated the physical basis for α and tested it with virtual experiments through the fully coupled multiphysics model hyporheicFoam for the Ω R – Ω HZ system. hyporheicFoam explicitly simulated coupled flow and solute transport over a kilometer with centimeter-scale resolution. Model results were analyzed to calculate α following its theoretical definition directly. Using the determined α within a TSM enables accurate reproduction of solute transport, underscoring α’s physical relevance and precision.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Differentiable modelling to unify machine learning and physical models for geosciences

Process-based modelling offers interpretability and physical consistency in many domains of geosciences but struggles to leverage large datasets efficiently. Machine-learning methods, especially deep networks, have strong predictive skills yet are unable to answer specific scientific questions. Here, in this Perspective, we explore differentiable modelling as a pathway to dissolve the perceived barrier between process-based modelling and machine learning in the geosciences and demonstrate its potential with examples from hydrological modelling. ‘Differentiable’ refers to accurately and efficiently calculating gradients with respect to model variables or parameters, enabling the discovery of high-dimensional unknown relationships. Differentiable modelling involves connecting (flexible amounts of) prior physical knowledge to neural networks, pushing the boundary of physics-informed machine learning. It offers better interpretability, generalizability, and extrapolation capabilities than purely data-driven machine learning, achieving a similar level of accuracy while requiring less training data. Additionally, the performance and efficiency of differentiable models scale well with increasing data volumes. Under data-scarce scenarios, differentiable models have outperformed machine-learning models in producing short-term dynamics and decadal-scale trends owing to the imposed physical constraints. Differentiable modelling approaches are primed to enable geoscientists to ask questions, test hypotheses, and discover unrecognized physical relationships. Future work should address computational challenges, reduce uncertainty, and verify the physical significance of outputs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Editorial: Data-driven machine learning for advancing hydrological and hydraulic predictability

The growing influence of machine learning (ML) in every aspect of our lives has led to revolutionary advancements in our understanding, prediction, and decision-making capabilities. One field that stands to benefit greatly from applying these techniques includes hydrology and hydraulics. The ability to predict hydrological and hydraulic phenomena with greater accuracy and reliability is of utmost importance, given the increasing threats posed by climate change and extreme weather/climate events. In this editorial, we explore the significant contributions made by four recent studies that aim to advance hydrological and hydraulic predictability through data-driven ML.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Planar turbulent wakes under pressure gradient: Integral and self-similarity analyses

By using a combination of integral and self-similarity analyses, the generalized analytical solutions for the mean transverse velocity and Reynolds shear stress are rigorously derived for the first time for the far field of planar turbulent wakes under arbitrary pressure gradients. Specifically, by assuming self-similarity for the mean axial velocity, the analytical formulation for the mean transverse velocity is obtained from the integral of the mean continuity equation, and the analytical formulation for the Reynolds shear stress is obtained from the integral of the momentum equation. The generalized analytical formulations for the mean transverse velocity and Reynolds shear stress consist of multiple components, each with its unique scale and physical mechanism. In the zero pressure gradient limit, the generalized formulations recover the single-scale equations reported by Wei, Liu, and Livescu. Furthermore, simpler approximate formulations for the mean transverse velocity and Reynolds shear stress are also obtained, and show excellent agreement with the experimental measurements. Here, the findings provide new insights into the properties of planar turbulent wakes under pressure gradients, filling some long-standing gaps in the existing literature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Study of Wake Development and Structure in Constant Pressure Gradients

Motivated by the application to high-lift aerodynamics for commercial transport aircraft, a systematic investigation into the response of symmetric/asymmetric planar turbulent wake development to constant adverse, zero, and favorable pressure gradients has been conducted. The experiments are performed at a Reynolds number of 2.4 million based on the chord of the wake generator. A unique feature of this wake study is that the pressure gradients imposed on the wake flow field are held constant. The experimental measurements involve both conventional LDV and hot wire flow field surveys of mean and turbulent quantities including the turbulent kinetic energy budget. In addition, similarity analysis and numerical simulation have also been conducted for this wake study. A focus of the research has been to isolate the effects of both pressure gradient and initial wake asymmetry on the wake development. Experimental results reveal that the pressure gradient has a tremendous influence on the wake development, despite the relatively modest pressure gradients imposed. For a given pressure gradient, the development of an initially asymmetric wake is different from the initially symmetric wake. An explicit similarity solution for the shape parameters of the symmetric wake is obtained and agrees with the experimental results. The turbulent kinetic energy budget measurements of the symmetric wake demonstrate that except for the convection term, the imposed pressure gradient does not change the fundamental flow physics of turbulent kinetic energy transport. Based on the turbulent kinetic energy budget measurements, an approach to correct the bias error associated with the notoriously difficult dissipation estimate is proposed and validated through the comparison of the experimental estimate with a direct numerical simulation result.

Thomas, Flint O.↗