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Kilcher, Levi (ORCID:0000000183851131)

Publications and source records attributed to Kilcher, Levi (ORCID:0000000183851131).

The Grid Value of Ocean Current Energy in Florida

Ocean current energy technology has been proposed as a potential contributor to Florida's energy portfolio. There has been limited investigation of how this energy would be valued when integrated into the Florida electrical grid. This study assesses three future grid scenarios to evaluate the impact of adding zero-cost ocean current energy to each. The Resource Planning Model, a tool developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, is used to identify the least-cost generation mix through 2050, with and without ocean current energy. The first scenario is a base case and assumes existing policies in which the addition of ocean current energy does not retire fossil-based technologies but variable generation technologies. In the second scenario, solar and storage technologies are lower cost, and the addition of ocean current generation enables those technologies along with wind to retire existing natural gas units earlier. In the third scenario, which requires a 95% reduction in carbon emissions from 2020 levels by 2050, ocean current energy can play a role in decarbonization along with other variable generation technologies. This analysis is intended to inform stakeholders on the opportunity, potential challenges, and overall value to the grid of ocean current technology from a reliability and availability focused perspective.

capacity expansion model↗

The Grid Value of Ocean Current Energy in Florida: Preprint

Ocean current technology has been proposed as a potential contributor to Florida's energy portfolio. There has been limited investigation of how this energy would be valued when integrated into the Florida electrical grid. This study assesses three future grid scenarios to evaluate the impact of adding ocean current to each. NREL's capacity expansion model, Resource Planning Model, is used to identify the least-cost generation mix through 2050, with and without ocean current. The first scenario, Business as Usual, Base case assuming current policies, ocean current does not replace fossil-based technologies. In the second scenario, we allow solar and storage to have lower costs than the first scenario which allows ocean current to retire gas earlier and more variable generation technologies to be deployed. In the third scenario, the Florida carbon constraint 95 by 2050 from 2020 levels case, ocean current can play a bigger role in decarbonization than the two other cases when coupled with other technologies.

capacity expansion model↗

Multi-decade high-resolution regional hindcasts for wave energy resource characterization in U.S. coastal waters

Long-term, high-resolution, regional wave hindcast datasets were generated using unstructured-grid Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) models for the U.S. coastal waters to support nearshore wave energy development in the U.S. including those bordering U.S. territorial islands. The model domains resolved the entire U.S. exclusive economic zones, with a spatial resolution of approximately 200 m nearshore. The regional SWAN models were driven by the global WAVEWATCH III® model outputs and run for a 42-year period from 1979 to 2020. Extensive model validations were performed using buoy observations and altimeter data. Regional resource characterization was performed based on hindcast data points at 2 km from shore and along the 100 m isobath. Aggregations of wave resource parameters were produced, and spatial and seasonal variations were analyzed for all the regions. Wave resource metrics recommended by international standards, including a 3-hour time series of six resource parameters, hourly frequency- and directionally resolved wave spectra at selected “virtual buoy” locations, and average-annual values of omni-directional wave power, significant wave height, and energy period are publicly disseminated through an Amazon Web Service and a Marine Energy Atlas web application tool to facilitate wave energy research and a wide range of coastal ocean applications.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

WBS 2.1.5.401 - Model Validation and Site Characterization for Early Deployment MHK Sites and Establishment of Wave Classification Scheme

The "Resource Characterization" project delivers the data and tools needed to engineer robust marine renewable energy devices and projects. The project measures resource details at commercially promising sites, runs high resolution models of promising sites and regions, and develops classification schemes that streamline device engineering, project development, and increase investor confidence.

ENGINEERING,TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Wave Resource Spatial and Temporal Variability Dependence on WEC Size

As the wave energy sector grows and looks to the Blue Economy for commercialization opportunities, there is a distinct and pressing need to clearly understand and quantify the coupled impacts of wave energy converter (WEC) size and wave resource characteristics on the annual energy production, spatial variability and temporal variability. Utilizing generic frequency domain representations of the Oscilla Power Triton WEC and spectral wave conditions at PacWave (Oregon), Los Angeles (California) and WETS (Hawaii), a series of interesting results emerge. Firstly, the 'optimal' WEC size, from an energy standpoint, is fundamentally dependent on the frequency distribution of the incoming wave variance density spectrum. Secondly, and from a seasonality perspective, the seasonal WEC energy generation doesn't necessarily follow the seasonal distribution of gross wave power. Finally, from an hourly power variability perspective, a reduction in WEC size generally decreases variability. However, for each of the locations investigated, there appears to be a WEC size threshold; a threshold where further reducing WEC size results in increased power variability.

blue economy↗

Tidal Energy Resource Characterization, Velocity and Turbulence Measurements, Processed Data, Cook Inlet, AK, 2021

This submission contains processed datasets from a long-term deployment of 3 moorings and a transect survey of the proposed tidal energy site off the East Forelands in Cook Inlet, AK. The long-term mooring datasets were created from 8 instruments mounted on a Terrasond High Energy Oceanographic Mooring (THEOM) bottom lander and two Mid-Water Mooring (MWM) Stablemoor buoys from 1 July 2021 to 31 August 2021 (60 days). The west-most mooring (MWM1) was deployed at 60.720225 N, 151.436196 W in ~50 m of water. The middle mooring (THEOM) was deployed at 60.720703 N, 151.429500 W in ~52 m of water. The east-most buoy (MWM2) was deployed at 60.720081 N, 151.420896 W in ~50 m of water. Each Stablemoor carried three instruments: 1. A Nortek Vector acoustic Doppler velocimeter (ADV) mounted at the Stablemoor's nose. Data were recorded at 8 Hz on a 5 minute duty cycle every 20 minutes. Data was motion-corrected using the internal IMU and external ADCP bottom-track data and then bin-averaged into 4 minute bins and converted to the Principal (streamwise, cross-stream, vertical) coordinate system. (Note: 30 seconds were trimmed from the beginning and end of each 5 minute duty cycle to account for the filter end-effects from turning on and turning off the IMU.) 2. A down-looking Nortek Signature 1000 kHz acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) mounted in the first Stablemoor instrument well. Data were recorded in 2 Hz with 5-beam burst and bottom-track enabled. Processed data has been averaged into 10 minute bins and converted into the Principal coordinate system. 3. An up-looking Nortek Signature 1000 kHz acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) mounted in the second Stablemoor instrument well. Data were recorded at 4 Hz with 5 beam burst enabled. Processed data has been averaged into 10 minute bins and converted into the Principal coordinate system. Note: the down-facing ADCP on MWM1 failed on July 10th, 2021, only recording 9 days of data. Because ADV motion-correction required bottom track, the ADV from MWM1 also only has 9 days processed. Additionally, only 25 days of data were processed from the MWM2 ADV because it appeared to have been impacted by debris on 7/25. Two instruments were mounted on the THEOM (see MHKDR link further below for THEOM raw data): 4. A Nortek Vector acoustic Doppler velocimeter (ADV). Data were recorded at 8 Hz on a 5 minute duty cycle every 20 minutes. Data was bin-averaged into 5 minute bins, and converted to the Principal coordinate system. 5. A Nortek Signature 500 kHz acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP). Data were recorded in 4 Hz in the beam coordinate system from all 5 beams. Processed data has been averaged into 10 minutes bins and converted to the Principal coordinate system.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗