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Khalil, M. A. K.

Publications and source records attributed to Khalil, M. A. K..

At least 19 records

Atmospheric methane at Cape Meares - Analysis of a high-resolution data base and its environmental implications

Between 1979 and 1992 we took some 120,000 measurements of atmospheric methane at Cape Meares on the Oregon coast. The site is representative of methane concentrations in the northern latitudes (from 30 deg N to 90 deg N). The average concentration during the experiment was 1698 parts per billion by volume (ppbv). Methane concentration increased by 190 ppbv (or 11.9 percent) during the 13-year span of the experiment. The rate of increase was about 20 +/- 4 ppbv/yr in the first 2 yr and 10 +/- 2 ppbv/yr in the last 2 yr of the experiment, suggesting a substantial decline in the trend at northern middle and high latitudes. Prominent seasonal cycles were observed. During the year, the concentration stays more or less constant until May and then starts falling, reaching lowest levels in July and August, then rises rapidly to nearly maximum concentrations in October. Interannual variations with small amplitudes of 2-3 ppbv occur with periods of 1.4 and 6.5 yr.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Atmospheric methyl bromide - Trends and global mass balance

A decadal time series of global CH3Br concentrations in the earth's atmosphere is presented. It is shown that average concentrations are about 10 pptv and during the last 4 yr may be increasing at 0.3 +/- 0.1 pptv/yr. It is estimated that the atmospheric lifetime of CH3Br that is due to reaction with OH is about 2 yr, which results in a calculated global emission rate of about 100 Gg/yr. Ocean supersaturations of 140-180 percent are observed, and atmospheric concentrations over the open oceans are higher than at comparably located coastal sites. The ocean source is estimated to be about 35 Gg/yr. The remaining emissions must come from other natural sources and anthropogenic activities.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Atmospheric carbon monoxide - Latitudinal distribution of sources

Global measurements of CO, taken over 2-8 years at 16 sites, are used to estimate the latitudinal and seasonal distributions of the sources. It is found that the most concentrated sources of CO, amounting to some 30 percent of the global production, are in the industrialized regions bounded by 30 and 50 deg N. About 47 percent of CO comes from the whole of the midnorthern latitudes and another 40 percent comes from the tropics. The calculations show that the production of CO is significantly higher during spring and summer, particularly in the industrialized latitudes. From these results it is apparent that the observed seasonal cycle of CO concentrations cannot be explained by the seasonal variation of OH alone.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Trends in source gases

Source gases are defined as those gases that, by their breakdown, introduce into the stratosphere halogen, hydrogen, and nitrogen compounds that are important in stratospheric ozone destruction. Given here is an update of the existing concentration time series for chlorocarbons, nitrous oxide, and methane. Also reviewed is information on halogen containing species and the use of these data for establishing trends. Also reviewed is evidence on trends in trace gases that influence tropospheric chemistry and thus the tropospheric lifetimes of source gases, such as carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, or nitrogen oxides. Much of the information is given in tabular form.

Ehhalt, D. H.↗

Carbon monoxide in the earth's atmosphere - Indications of a global increase

Systematic measurements of CO have been taken over the past six to eight years at sites ranging from within the Arctic Circle to the South Pole, and the results are discussed. The rates of increase of the globally averaged concentration are between 0.8 percent and 1.4 percent per year depending on the statistical method used for estimating the trends. These increases may have gone on for much longer because more than half of the atmospheric CO now comes from anthropogenic sources. The rates of increase are largest at midnorthern and tropical latitudes, where most of the sources are located.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Isoprene over the Amazon Basin

Data obtained during the 1985 ABLE expedition to the Amazon are used to describe the diurnal and vertical variations of isoprene. Isoprene is a natural hydrocarbon emitted by many species of trees, particularly those in tropical forests. The concentrations of isoprene at lower levels in the atmosphere undergo large diurnal variations, with the highest concentrations during midday and the lowest during the night. At ground level, outside the forest, peak concentrations of about 3-parts per billion by volume (ppbv) of isoprene were observed around midday. Concentrations were nearly zero before sunrise, increased to their maximum values during the day, and declined after sunset. Concentrations of 1-2 ppbv of isoprene were observed up to 300 m. Near the canopy level, up to 8 ppbv of isoprene were observed. In the forest, concentrations are generally quite low below the canopy and are highest at the level of the canopy. Since the reaction of isoprene with OH radicals is extremely fast, its concentrations fall off rapidly with altitude, so that practically none of it was seen above the boundary layer. During nighttime, however, concentrations comparable to daytime values were observed at altitudes of 300 m and above.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

Atmospheric trace gases - Trends and distributions over the last decade

Concentrations of the halocarbons CCl3F (F-11), CCl2F2 (F-12), CCl4, and CH3CCl3, methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) over the decade between 1975 and 1985 are reported, based on measurements taken every January at the South Pole and in the Pacific Northwest. The concentrations of F-11, F-12, and CH3CCl3 in both hemispheres are now more than twice their concentrations 10 years ago. However, the annual rates of increase of F-11, F-12, and CH3CCl3 are now considerably slower than earlier in the decade, reflecting in part the effects of a ban on their nonessential uses. Continued increases in these trace gas concentrations may warm the earth and deplete the stratospheric ozone layer, which may cause widespread climatic changes and affect global habitability.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

Methane, carbon monoxide and methylchloroform in the Southern Hemisphere

New observational data on CH4, CO and CH3CCl3 in the Southern Hemisphere are reported. The data are analyzed for long term trends and seasonal cycles. CH3CCl3 data are used to scale the OH fields incorporated in a two-dimensional model, which in turn, is used to constrain the magnitude of a global CH4 source function. The possible causes of observed seasonality of CH3CCl3, CH4 and CO are identified, and several other aspects of observed CH4 variability are discussed. Possible future research directions are also given.

Fraser, P. J.↗

Causes of increasing atmospheric methane - Depletion of hydroxyl radicals and the rise of emissions

A combination of anthropogenic activities and a possible decline of global concentrations for the hydroxyl radicals that formerly removed methane from the atmosphere are cited as potential causes for the 1.3 percent/year rise of atmospheric methane levels. Calculations are presented which show that much of the methane increase over the last 200 years is probably to be divided among the two main sources in the proportions of 70 percent for anthropogenic generation and 30 percent for hydroxyl radical depletion. It is projected that in 20 years, average tropospheric concentrations of methane may be about 20 percent greater than 1980 levels. The current abundance of hydroxyl radicals may be 20 percent less than two centuries ago.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Tropospheric trace gases

Trace gas concentrations in the atmosphere reflect in part the overall metabolism of the biosphere, and in part the broad range of human activities such as agriculture, production of industrial chemicals, and combustion of fossil fuels and biomass. There is compelling evidence that the composition of the atmosphere is now changing. Observed trends in trace gas levels are reviewed and implications for the chemistry of the atmosphere are discussed. Throughout the discussion, particular emphasis is given to those species which are now increasing in the atmosphere.

Gammon, R.↗

Atmospheric methane in the recent and ancient atmospheres Concentrations, trends, and interhemispheric gradient

Rasmussen and Khalil (1981) have shown that the concentration of methane is increasing in the earth's atmosphere. A continuing increase of methane may perturb the global environment in the future by warming the earth and leading to more ozone and carbon monoxide in the atmosphere. It appears that the present concentration of methane may be more than twice as high as the natural levels of 150 years ago. An analysis of air bubbles buried long ago in polar ice makes it possible to deduce the concentrations of methane in the old and ancient atmospheres. The present investigation is concerned with the results of an analysis of more than 80 ice core samples, taking into account both polar regions of the earth. The samples range in age from about 100 to nearly 3000 years old. It is found that the concentration of methane started changing significantly about 150 years ago. These findings suggest that the increase of methane is probably indirectly caused by the rapid increase of human population.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

The atmospheric lifetime of methylchloroform (CH3CCl3)

The lifetime of atmospheric methylchloroform (CH3CCl3) is estimated to be about 6 (+ or - 1.5) years based on extensive measurements taken over the past seven years at remote locations of the world, ranging from inside the Arctic Circle to the South Pole. The average level of tropospheric hydroxyl radicals (OH) deduced from the lifetime of CH3CCl3 is about 8 x 10 to the 5th molecules/cu cm, but this value is uncertain by up to + or - 75 percent.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Carbon monoxide in the earth's atmosphere - Increasing trend

The results of an analysis of more than 60,000 atmospheric measurements of carbon monoxide taken over 3-1/2 years at Cape Meares, Oregon (45 deg N, 125 deg W), indicate that the background concentration of this gas is increasing. The rate of increase, although uncertain, is about 6 percent per year on average. Human activities are the likely cause of a substantial portion of this observed increase; however, because of the short atmospheric lifetime of carbon monoxide and the relatively few years of observations, fluctuations of sources and sinks related to the natural variability of climate may have affected the observed trend. Increased carbon monoxide may deplete tropospheric hydroxyl radicals, slowing down the removal of dozens of man-made and anthropogenic trace gases and thus indirectly affecting the earth's climate and possibly the stratospheric ozone layer.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Tropospheric methane in the mid-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere

More than 800 methane concentration measurements have been obtained for the Southern Hemisphere's troposphere over the September 1980-March 1983 period. Concentrations are noted to increase throughout the troposphere during the study period, adding further support to the view that CH4 concentrations are currently increasing on a global scale. In the surface methane data, a seasonal cycle with a peak-to-peak amplitude of 28 ppbv is found. Maxima and minima are on September-October and March, respectively. The phase and amplitude of the cycle are qualitatively consistent with the concept that the major sink for methane is oxidation by hydroxyl radicals. Evidence is found for a positive vertical gradient in methane content.

Fraser, P. J.↗

Increase and seasonal cycles of nitrous oxide in the earth's atmosphere

It is determined that nitrous oxide (N2O) is increasing at about 0.9 ppb/yr in the northern hemisphere and at about 0.7 ppb/yr in the southern hemisphere, based on about 9000 ground-level measurements at Cape Meares, Oregon (45 deg N), and Cape Grim, Tasmania (42 deg S), spanning a three-year period. It is also shown that the N2O concentrations vary with season in the northern hemisphere, where the concentrations are 0.8 ppbv higher during April, May, and June compared to the rest of the year, and in the southern hemisphere where the concentrations are about 0.5 ppbv lower during March, April, and May compared to the rest of the year. An explanation of this increase as a sizeable anthropogenically-controlled land-based source is presented, based on an examination of the existing estimates of natural and anthropogenic sources of N2O. Mass-balance calculations are also presented which suggest that a natural land-based source, peaking in spring, would explain the main features of the observed seasonal cycle. A growth model is employed to extrapolate the observed increase of N2O into the future and the results are compared with exponential extrapolations.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Sources, sinks, and seasonal cycles of atmospheric methane

It is shown that a lifetime of approximately 8 years is most consistent with the observed latitudinal variation of atmospheric methane, requiring the current global emissions of methane to be around 550 teragrams per year. The repeating pattern of a rapid rise of CH4 concentrations in the fall in the Northern Hemisphere indicates a large fall source at latitudes above 30 deg N. The remaining observed seasonal variations are seen as consistent with the seasonal cycle of OH, which removes methane from the atmosphere. An extensive set of self-consistent measurements of methane is reported and analyzed, revealing that methane has increased during the past 3-4 years at rates of 1-1.9 percent per year all over the world at sites ranging from inside the Arctic Circle to the South Pole. The observational results are used in estimating the sources, sinks, and seasonal cycles of CH4 and the effects of human activities on its atmospheric abundance.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Natural and anthropogenic trace gases in the southern hemisphere

The complexity of the global environment makes it necessary that many important trace gases in the earth's atmosphere be measured on a global scale before predictions can be made regarding the effects of human activities on the environment. A description is presented of measurements of 14 atmospheric trace gases in the lower atmosphere (0-4 km) of the southern hemisphere. Concentrations are considered of CCl3F, CCl2F2, CHClF2, C2.Cl3.F3, CH3CCl3, CCl4, C2.Cl4, CH3I, CHCl3, CO, CH3Cl, CH4, N2O, and OCS. The obtained data are analyzed and interpreted to statistically quantify the possible differences of concentrations in and above the boundary layer, to model the vertical profile of CH3I, and to use the data in support of previous findings that CH4 is increasing in the atmosphere.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

Atmospheric methyl iodide /CH3I/

It is found that atmospheric concentrations of CH3I are not greater than about 3 pptv over most of the earth's surface and drop to less than half this value above the boundary layer, suggesting that the compound is not likely to play such important roles, on a global scale, as the destruction of tropospheric O3 and free radicals and the increasing of the NO2/NO ratio and hydroxyl radical densities. It is hypothesized that a large portion of the global CH3I comes from oceanic regions of high biomass productivity, where the compound may play a key role in local atmospheric chemistry. Attention is given to CH3I measurement uncertainties with regard to global distribution, sources, and sinks.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗