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Keyser, Daniel

Publications and source records attributed to Keyser, Daniel.

Diagnostic Studies of Large-Scale Weather Systems in the GEOS General Circulation Model

During the period covered by this report, the PI has contributed in an advisory capacity to various aspects of the evaluation of the nature run, including the development of research plans, the derivation of diagnostic procedures, and the interpretation of the results of the evaluation. Computing and data analysis have been performed by Dr. Jusem in consultation with Dr. Atlas. The PI's contribution to this effort has been rendered primarily by means of scheduled biweekly phone discussions with Dr. Jusem, supplemented by electronic mailings and postings on the Web.

Keyser, Daniel

Quasigeostrophic diagnosis of three-dimensional ageostrophic circulations in an idealized baroclinic disturbance

Keyser et al.'s (1989) kinematic technique for the representation of 3D vertical circulations in baroclinic disturbances in terms of a vector eigenfunction, the 'psi vector', is presently projected onto the framework of quasi-geostrophic (QG) theory. The projection of the psi-vector equation onto the cross-front vertical plane leads to a generalization of the QG form of the Sawyer-Eliassen equation that is applicable to 3D flows. The diagnostic methodologies for the total ageostrophic flow and for the generalized Sawyer-Eliassen equation are illustrated by applications to upper-level and surface frontal zones that are simulated in an f-plane primitive equation channel model of a finite-amplitude baroclinic wave.

Keyser, Daniel

Quasigeostrophic vertical motions diagnosed from along- and cross-isentrope components of the Q vector

In a recent paper on the kinematics of frontogenesis, Keyser et al. (1988) conjectured that partitioning the Q vector into along- and cross-isentrope components yields vertical-motion patterns that are respectively cellular and banded: the former on the scale of the baroclinic disturbance, and the latter on the scale of the embedded frontal zones. This conjecture is examined diagnostically through solution of the quasi-geostrophic omega equation, using the output from a nearly adiabatic and frictionless f-plane primitive equation channel model of the evolution of a baroclinic disturbance to finite amplitude. The results of the present study support the proposed conjecture, suggesting the following interpretation of the characteristic comma structure of the vertical-motion field in midlatitude baroclinic disturbances: the dipole is associated with the along-isentrope component of the Q vector, reflecting the wavelike pattern in the potential temperature field within the baroclinic disturbance; the asymmetries are associated with the cross-isentrope component of the Q vector, reflecting the presence of frontal zones within the baroclinic disturbance.

Keyser, Daniel

A technique for representinbg three-dimensional vertical circulation in baroclinic disturbances

A method is presented for producing three-dimensional representations of vertical circulations in frontal zones in cases where the circulations are not confined to the cross-front vertical plane. Various approaches for representing vertical circulations are reviewed. The numerical aspects of the channel-model simulation are summarized. A vector streamfunction, the psi vector, that describes the vertical velocity and the horizontal irrotational flow, is defined. The technique for determining the psi vector for a channel geometry is outlined. Results are presented from applying the psi vector method to four frontal systems in an f-plane primitive equation channel model of a finite-amplitude baroclinic wave.

Keyser, Daniel

Balanced and unbalanced upper-level frontogenesis

The impacts of vertical shear in the cross-front component of the geostrophic wind, and of its implied along-front temperature gradient, on frontogenesis at upper levels were investigated using a hierarchy of three dynamical models based on the Keyser and Pecnick (1985) primitive-equation model. The three models are (in order of decreasing sophistication) the anelastic (AN), the geostrophic momentum (GM), and the quasi-geostsrophic (QG) approximations to the primitive equations. Intercomparison of the broad-scale structure of the upper-level jet-fronts as described by the AN and GM models showed close agreement. In contrast, the QG model exhibited marked differences with its AN counterpart, which became more pronounced with increased geostrophic wind.

Reeder, Michael J.

A generalization of Petterssen's frontogenesis function and its relation to the forcing of vertical motion

The classic Peterssen frontogenesis function, defined as the Lagrangian rate of change of the magnitude of the potential temperature gradient, is generalized to apply to the vector potential temperature gradient. The derivation of vector frontogenesis in natural coordinates is shown, and analytical examples of frontal evolution in nondivergent horizontal velocity fields are given which suggest that both the frontogenetic and rotational components of the vector frontogenesis function F may be comparable in developing frontal zones observed in nature. The relative importance of the magnitude and direction contributions to F is quantitatively investigated, and it is found that the Lagrangian rates of change of the magnitude and direction of the potential temperature gradient are comparable. The frontal circulation is found to be related to the magnitude component of the Q vector, whereas the background circulation is related to the direction component.

Keyser, Daniel

Regional models - Emerging research tools for synoptic meteorologists

A number of regional-scale numerical weather prediction models are discussed together with their application to the study of the structure and the dynamics of mesoscale phenomena. Consideration is given to investigations of natural phenomena (such as midlatitude cyclones and related baroclinic disturbances; upper-level jet-front systems; surface frontal zones, squall lines, and rain bands; mesoscale convective systems; and severe-storm environments) in which two operational models and four research models are used for regional-model studies. It is shown that these models provide investigators with four-dimensional dynamically consistent data sets to supplement and extend those available from observations.

Keyser, Daniel

The effect of along-front temperature variation in a two-dimensional primitive equation model of a surface frontogenesis

The effects of along-front temperature variations on the structure and evolution of surface fronts are investigated using a two-dimensional frontogenesis model. The formulation and characteristics of the confluence-horizontal shear model are described. The structures of three frontal zones forced by confluence and characterized by zero, negative, and positive along-front potential temperature variations are analyzed; particular attention is given to the ageostrophic vertical circulation and their forcings. The temporal evolution of the model frontal zones is examined in terms of the low-level maxima of vorticity, cross-front potential temperature gradient, and convergence. The kinematic and dynamic processes influencing the frontogenesis are discussed. It is noted that the two-dimensional model is applicable to the study of the dynamical properties of frontogenesis.

Keyser, Daniel

Numerical studies of frontal dynamics

Efforts concentrated on the development of a two dimensional primitive equation (PE) model of frontogenesis that simultaneously incorporates the frontagenetical mechanisms of confluence and horizontal shear. Applying this model to study the effects of upper level frontogenesis, it appeared to be dominated by tilting effects associated with cross front variation of vertical motion, in which subsidence is maximized within and to the warm side of the frontal zone. Results suggest that aspects characteristic of three-dimensional baroclinic waves may be abstracted to a significant extent in a two dimensional framework. They also show that upper-level frontogenesis and tropopause folding can occur in the absence of three-dimensional curvature effects, commonly believed to be necessary for realistic upper-level frontogenesis. An implication of the dominant tilting effects is that they may have to be adequately resolved by numerical weather prediction models, thus requiring better horizontal and vertical resolution.

Keyser, Daniel

A report on the upper-level wind conditions preceding and during the Shuttle Challenger (STS 51L) explosion

The prelaunch, launch, and postlaunch synoptic-scale weather conditions on January 28, 1986 are described. Particular consideration is given to upper-level jet streams, vertical wind shear, and the possible effect of shear-induced turbulence on Cape Canaveral at the time of the Shuttle launch. General data revealing the relations between wind shear and turbulence and jet streams are discussed. The NWS operational and surface radiosonde data, visible and IR GOES imagery, and total ozone data obtained from TOMS on Nimbus-7 are analyzed. Numerical simulations of the weather conditions were conducted. The simulations and observational data are compared, and the data reveal the juxtaposition of two distinct jet-stream systems (a polar front jet and a subtropical jet) over north-central Florida the morning of the launch. Recommendations for improving the observing system at Cape Canaveral are discussed.

Uccellini, Louis W.