Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Keith, Janine.
Solesca is working to enhance the energy and financial modeling components of their real-time solar project design platform. In collaboration with NREL, they aim to improve the accuracy and reliability of their software by integrating best practices and knowledge from NREL.
This work will compare the Allen method and Walker method of accounting for subhourly inverter clipping power losses in hourly PV performance models. The Allen method uses a matrix lookup based on DNI clearness and clipping potential to assign a clipping correction loss at each simulation timestep. The Walker method models the PV DC power input to the inverter as a distribution over the hourly timestep and uses integration over the timestep to determine the amount of clipping that occurs within the timestep. Both these models have been recently implemented in the System Advisor Model's (SAM) open-source code, and will be applied to hourly SURFRAD datasets to analyze the subhourly clipping loss predicted by each model for different system designs and inverter loading conditions. Both models will be compared to "true" 1-minute SURFRAD data simulations to see their accuracy against more accurate 1-minute clipping correction loss predictions. This model comparisons will be investigated in more detail at the PVSC conference in Seattle, Washington June 2024.
The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a free techno-economic software model that facilitates decision-making for people in the renewable energy industry. PVWatts estimates the energy production of grid-connected photovoltaic energy systems throughout the world. It allows homeowners, small building owners, installers, and manufacturers to easily develop estimates of the performance of potential photovoltaic installations.
This work will detail a proposed uncertainty quantification method for PV annual energy estimates. Motivations behind the proposed methodology will be discussed, including the frequent underperformance of installed PV systems to calculated probability of exceedance values being seen in industry. A methodology in which uncertainty factors correlated to different parts of the PV annual energy model chain are applied to annual energy estimates in conjunction with uncertainty from inter-annual solar resource variability will be described. The application of this methodology in the System Advisor Model (SAM) will also be discussed with example cases and graphical outputs of the probability of exceedance data calculated for the PV annual energy estimates.