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Hovorka, Susan D.

Publications and source records attributed to Hovorka, Susan D..

At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

A phased workflow to define permit‐ready locations for large volume CO 2 injection and storage

Abstract To‐date, only two UIC Class VI permits have been issued by the US Environmental Protection Agency. We illustrate a four‐phase workflow to first identify regional storage resources and then down‐select sites to yield permit‐ready locations that can accept and store large volumes of CO 2 . Specific permit requirements should guide objectives and define deliverables of respective workflow phases. In the first phase we used available regional data and screened structure and injection zones to locate resources that match CO 2 volumes planned to be captured. Available data were also used to assess presence and depth of usable groundwater, the key resource being protected via permitting. We then used advanced, closed‐form, analytical solutions (EASiTool) to estimate CO 2 injectivity into each hydrologically connected injection compartment. In the second phase we acquired and conditioned additional wireline logs and leased available seismic datasets. We interpreted the depositional systems from wireline well‐log character and mapped sandbody geometry to interpolate injection and confining‐zone distribution. Using available data, we mapped faults and locations of freshwater and overpressure (or other capacity‐limiting geologic parameters) in more detail. In the third phase, we used the augmented geologic data to develop a static model for the selected area, extracted the areas of highest interest, and generated and ran dynamic (flow) models. In a fourth phase, we reduced major uncertainties identified in earlier phases. Our case study indicates that to complete preparation of a permit application requires (1) improved lithologic characterization information (thicknesses and horizontal and vertical connectivity) and (2) better definition of poorly defined local faults. © 2023 The Authors. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Assessing the potential of composite confining systems for secure and long-term CO 2 retention in geosequestration

A potential geologic target for CO 2 storage should ensure secure containment of injected CO 2 . Traditionally, this objective has been achieved by targeting reservoirs with overlying seals-regionally extensive, low permeability units that have been proven capable of retaining buoyant fluid accumulations over geologic time. However, considering that the amount of CO 2 is limited by a decadal injection period, vertical migration of CO 2 can be effectively halted by a composite system of discontinuous shale/silt/mudstone barriers in bedded sedimentary rocks. Here, we studied the impact of depositional architectures in a composite confining system on CO 2 migration and confinement at reservoir scale. We stochastically generated lithologically heterogeneous reservoir models containing discontinuous barriers consistent with statistical distributions of net-sand-to-gross-shale ratio (NTG) and horizontal correlation lengths derived from well log data and observations of producing hydrocarbon fields in Southern Louisiana. We then performed an extensive suite of reservoir simulations of CO 2 injection and post-injection to evaluate the sensitivity of CO 2 plume migration and pressure response of the composite system to a series of geologic and fluid parameters including the lateral continuity of barriers, NTG, permeability anisotropy within the sand body, and capillary pressure contrast between the sand and shale facies. The results indicate that lateral continuity of barriers and NTG are the dominant controls on CO 2 plume geometry and pressure build-up in the reservoir, while the impact of NTG is particularly pronounced. The significance of intraformational barriers becomes apparent as they facilitate the local capillary trapping of CO 2 . Those barriers improve the pore space occupancy by promoting a more dispersed shape of the plume and ultimately retard the buoyancy-driven upward migration of the plume post injection.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Minimizing exposure to legacy wells and avoiding conflict between storage projects: Exploring area of review as a screening tool

Elevated pressure from large-volume injection is a key driver of risk and project cost. If transmissive features (e.g., non-isolating wells or fracture systems) are present, increased injection-zone pressure can drive fluids from depth toward protected freshwater resources. In US Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) law, the area at risk is known as the Area of Review (AoR). The size and number of potentially transmissive features to be evaluated and possibly remediated or managed is a function of the size and location of the AoR. The size of the AoR depends on several variables, including properties of the injection zone, properties of protected resources, and injection rate and duration. Evaluation of the intersection of these variables across a portfolio of sites highlights the injection zone depth and boundary conditions as top-level controls. Deep injection, use of multiple stacked injection zones, reduced injection rate and choice of injection well location can all be used to minimize AoR and the number of potentially transmissive features within it. Here, we introduce the concept of pressure space (defined as connected pore volume times pressure) as the key subsurface commodity for CO 2 storage and we suggest that it forms a more robust basis for leasing and regulation than pore space alone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Mapping existing wellbore locations to compare technical risks between onshore and offshore CCS activities in Texas

Carbon dioxide capture and geologic storage (CCS; geologic sequestration) is a promising technology for reducing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere from industrial point sources. Aspects of CCS have been investigated for over two decades, and many large- and small-scale geologic storage field demonstration projects are now underway globally. Interest in offshore CCS has been increasing in recent years (e.g., European Union, Australia, Japan, and the United States). Deep geologic storage in offshore settings is analogous to onshore CCS activities in many respects (i.e., geologic and geotechnical aspects), but is distinct from previously explored seabed sediment CO 2 storage) or deep marine dissolution). Given the large subsurface geologic storage volumes available in offshore settings, much discussion of offshore CCS is focused on the benefits and risks of such activity compared to onshore settings. Similar to onshore settings, existing (legacy) wells likely present the most direct migration pathway and largest risk of noncontainment in offshore settings. As part of current studies to evaluate geologic storage options in offshore settings along the Texas coast and greater Gulf of Mexico (GoM), mapping of the geographic distribution and ages of wells in a region containing coastal counties and extending 30 miles offshore Texas indicates that both well spatial density and well age decrease moving from onshore to offshore. Results suggest reduced risk of leakage owing to more rigorous and documented well completion and abandonment practices for these generally younger wells (although many are decades old). A result of decreased well density is that larger areas are available for leasing for CCS projects that avoid legacy wells altogether (> 1 mile from any existing well). The one-mile designation is used as an arbitrary convention, and while it is recognized that this is smaller than a typical area of review (AoR) for permitting, each site will have a different AoR radius for consideration. Finally, the combination of large subsurface storage volumes under control of a single landowner and reduced risks from legacy wells makes offshore CCS attractive in the GoM.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Fetch-trap Pairs: Exploring definition of carbon storage prospects to increase capacity and flexibility in areas with competing uses

As CCS grows beyond isolated first-mover projects, the question of how to identify potential storage sites (prospects) is key to siting projects amidst the constraints of neighboring storage projects, hydrocarbon fields and other considerations. To date, prospects have been defined either by the extent of a buoyant trap or by the predicted maximum extent of the CO 2 or pressure plume. Both approaches have worked, but they may struggle in places like the Gulf of Mexico where complex geologic structure can invalidate simple assumptions of radial plume spread and buoyant traps are commonly unattractive due to numerous legacy well penetrations. Here, we propose identifying prospective storage sites by fetch area (drainage cell) rather than by buoyant closure alone. Doing so offers 1) greater freedom in siting injectors to avoid surface and subsurface constraints, including legacy wells that tend to cluster on structural high; and 2) a coherent flow regime in which buoyancy drives all injected CO 2 toward a common high. This strategy gives space to dissipate injection pressure and minimize the number of legacy wells needing review. It may also offer 1) better injectivity by bringing synclines and associated channel axes into play; and 2) potentially improved capacity by tapping a larger rock volume and taking advantage of migration losses.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Common risk segment mapping: Streamlining exploration for carbon storage sites, with application to coastal Texas and Louisiana

Large-scale deployment of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) will require a commensurately large number of sites. Efficient screening methods are needed to create investment assurance and focus efforts on the most promising sites. The problem is similar to petroleum exploration, for which there are well-developed (though seldom published) workflows, including Common Risk Segment (CRS) mapping. In brief, the process requires 1) defining the key play elements; 2) identifying candidate geologic intervals for each; 3) creating fact-based maps for those intervals; 4) determining minimum criteria for the success of each element; 5) reinterpreting the fact-based maps in terms of chance of success; and 6) combining the individual maps to form a composite, basin-scale view of prospectivity. We adapt the CRS process to screening for CO 2 storage sites. Critically, we redefine the process in terms of cost of characterization and development, rather than chance of success. For illustration, we apply the process to the example of the Lower Miocene on the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast. We show that the predictions are consistent with historic hydrocarbon production volumes and rates. The power of the CRS method is that it creates a systematic approach to geologic evaluation and translates complex, multidimensional analysis into clear, graphical and easily comprehended business inputs. The results highlight sweet spots and identifies critical risks, suggesting a focus for further data collection and analysis. Furthermore, the method developed here can be applied to both surface and subsurface factors anywhere that there is interest in geologic storage of CO 2 .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Dynamic Processes of CO 2 Storage in the Field: 1. Multiscale and Multipath Channeling of CO 2 Flow in the Hierarchical Fluvial Reservoir at Cranfield, Mississippi

A consistent picture of dynamic channeling, invasion, spreading, and breakthrough (CISB) of supercritical CO 2 in the hierarchical fluvial reservoir at Cranfield, Mississippi is presented after 10 years of integration and analysis of complementary field monitoring and characterization data. The dynamic CISB with small-scale CO 2 -flow channels in the F1-F2-F3 cross section (F1, F2, and F3 are one injection and two monitoring wells) was imaged by daily electrical resistance tomography (ERT) and time-lapse crosswell seismic surveys. One, three, and four CO 2 flow channels logged at F1, F2, and F3, respectively, were dynamically connected with strong temporal variations in CO 2 saturation during 221 days of drainage with injection rate doubling twice and 81 days of imbibition. Three intermediate-scale CO 2 flow channels (with highest CO 2 saturation) normal to the cross section were ERT-imaged during late-time drainage. A large-scale, sinuous fluvial CO 2 flow channel was imaged by repeat surface seismic survey at the end of the imbibition. The fluvial sandstone channel sinuously bypasses the F1-F2-F3 cross section in a point bar, but the channel is connected to the cross section through an intermediate-scale sandstone channel, forming a complicated flow channel network. The multiscale flow channel network (in the fluvial channel-point bar system) revealed from the observed CISB enables us to consistently interpret the hydrological monitoring data of three tracer tests, each conducted during an injection rate step, and preinjection hydraulic-thermal-tracer tests. Finally, this interpretation of the CISB and flow channel network can guide future modeling and data inversion to best understand the effects of natural heterogeneity on CO 2 storage efficiency and residual trapping.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

The Seismic Response to Injected Carbon Dioxide: Comparing Observations to Estimates Based Upon Fluid Flow Modeling

Time-lapse seismic amplitude differences and travel time shifts, obtained while monitoring enhanced oil recovery at Cranfield, Mississippi, reveal coherent changes that are associated with the injection of carbon dioxide. Rock physics modeling highlights the importance of the oil, brine, and gas content of pore fluids prior to the injection of carbon dioxide. For example, compressional velocity changes due to the injection of carbon dioxide can drop from 300 m/s to less than 100 m/s as the percentage of oil increases from 1% to 50%. Predictions based upon a new technique for modeling wave propagation in a poroelastic medium containing an arbitrary number of fluids, coupled with multicomponent numerical reservoir modeling at Cranfield, reproduce the general pattern of observed seismic amplitude changes and travel time shifts. In particular, time-lapse amplitude changes suggest a significant and widespread lowering of compressional velocities due to the injection of CO 2 into an aquifer bounding the oil rim of the reservoir. It appears that the large-scale variations in preexisting pore fluid content have a major influence on seismic velocity changes, even in the highly heterogeneous reservoir at Cranfield.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Carbon Life Cycle Analysis of CO 2 -EOR for Net Carbon Negative Oil (NCNO) Classification (Final Report)

This final report summarizes the work that was conducted to achieve the project’s general objective of developing a clear and repeatable methodology to determine whether the oil produced in a conventional CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (CO 2 -EOR) operation can be classified as Net Carbon Negative Oil (NCNO). The report also summarizes the reservoir mass accounting methodology and the monitoring, verification, and accounting (MVA) methodology, which are critical elements that support the general objective and were conceived as project goals. Because the purpose is to classify the EOR product (crude oil) and not the EOR project itself, and as the rate of crude oil production varies significantly with time, the methodology uses a novel dynamic carbon lifecycle analysis (d-LCA) that links instant energy demand and associated greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to instant operational performance. The EOR operational performance is assessed through CO 2 utilization rates, which relate usage of CO 2 to oil production This dynamic method provides a better understanding of the evolution of the environmental impact (CO 2 emissions) and mitigation (geologic CO 2 storage) associated with an expanded carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) system, from start to closure of operations. The dynamic interplay between operational and environmental performance forms the basis of our CCUS technology analysis. The LCA part of the work is meant to complement previous NETL LCA work, and so it focused on EOR/storage efficiency, its variability through time, and the impact of this variability on LCA results. The environmental impact of the CCUS system was assessed for 3 system boundaries: (1) gate-to-gate, (2) gate-to-grave, and (3) cradle-to-grave. The environmental impact was also assessed considering the electricity displacement from other generation facilities. Another goal of our study was to use results to make recommendations on EOR field development strategies that are conducive to producing NCNO. Because field operational strategies have a significant impact on reservoir engineering parameters that affect both CO 2 storage and oil production (e.g., sweep efficiency, flood conformance, fluid saturation distribution), we conducted a scenario analysis that assesses the operational and environmental performance of four common and novel CO 2 -EOR field development strategies. Results show that all CO 2 -EOR evaluated scenarios start operating with a negative carbon footprint and, years into the project, transition into operating with a positive carbon footprint. Having achieved a result that proves that all CO 2 -EOR operations produce NCNO during the first years of production is critical in the context of the urgency of climate change mitigation. Transition points are significantly different in each scenario. ii In a cradle-to-grave CCUS system, if the capture facility displaces a conventional power source and credits are added for displacement, the adverse impact caused by the system expansion not only is reversed but transformed into a significant environmental benefit. The effect of the displacement more than compensates the emissions associated with the electricity generation requirements for the production of CO 2 , as much more electricity will be displaced. Results provide an understanding of the evolution of the system’s net carbon balance of all four field development strategies studied. This information can be useful to CO 2 -EOR operators seeking value in storing more CO 2 through a carbon credit program (e.g., the 45Q federal carbon credit program). Most importantly, this study serves as confirmation that CO 2 -EOR can be operationally designed to both enhance oil production and reduce greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2019

Validating compositional fluid flow simulations using 4D seismic interpretation and vice versa in the SECARB Early Test—A critical review

We report on strengths and weaknesses of 4D seismic interpretation as a technique for monitoring carbon dioxide that was injected as part of a large scale test associated with commercial enhanced oil recovery (EOR) at Cranfield Field, Mississippi, USA. The goals of the monitoring effort are 1) to make measurements to verify that the CO 2 is contained in the reservoir according to operational designs and model predictions, and 2) that if there are deviations, to provide data which can be used to update the earth models and determine if any mitigation is needed. Our work uses a compositional numerical simulation to model CO 2 flow in the reservoir and compares the results with estimates of changes in seismic properties between a pre-injection and a survey after more than 2 million metric tons injected. The complicated physics of the problem in Cranfield field present challenges to seismic interpretations. These findings reflect partial agreement between the results of the numerical simulation and the seismic interpretations. Possible causes of discrepancies among the fluid flow model and multiple interpretations of the same seismic data sets performed with different work flows illuminates the types of uncertainties that should be considered to achieve the goals of monitoring.

4D seismic↗
DOE OSTI2018

Present Early Test Results at SECARB Industry Briefing [Slides]

Contents include the following presentations: 1) SECARB Phase III Early Test Cranfield, MS; 2) SECARB Phase III Early Test at Cranfield, March 9, 2010; 3) Update on Results of SECARB "Early" Test of Monitoring Large Volume Injection at Cranfield; 4) Progress Update SECARB "Early" Test Monitoring 3.5 Million Tons at Cranfield, March 7, 2012; 5) Cranfield Geophysical Monitoring Status and Results, March 8, 2012; 6) Large Volume CO 2 Injection at Cranfield, Early Field Test of the SECARB Phase III–Near-Surface Monitoring, March 7, 2012; 7) Shallow Groundwater Study at the Cranfield Site, March 12, 2013; 8) Subsurface Monitoring Studies–Results and Integration, March 12, 2013; 9) Review of the Petrophysics for the Cranfield Phase III Project, March 12, 2013; 10) Geomechanics at Cranfield, March 5, 2014; 11) Gulf Coast Carbon Center Near-Surface Update, March 4-5, 2014; 12) Monitoring Design Best Practices, March 5, 2014; 13) Assessing Impacts of CO 2 Leakage on Groundwater Quality and Monitoring Network Efficiency–Case Study at a CO 2 -EOR site, March 11, 2013; 14) Near-surface Stratigraphy and Geophysics, March 11, 2015; 15) Update on Reservoir Modeling and Final Testing and P&A Underway, March 11, 2013; 16) SECARB Early Test Retrospective; 17) Fluid Source Attribution at CCS and CO 2 -EOR Sites, March 8, 2016; 18) SECARB "Early Test" at Cranfield, March 8-9, 2017; 19) Analysis of Seismic Time-Lapse Observations at Cranfield; 20) SECARB Phase III Cranfield Project (Early Test), March 8, 2018; 21) Enhanced Analytical Simulation Tool (EASiTool) Dynamic Capacity Estimation; 22) Net Carbon Negative Oil Mass Accounting–Cranfield Case Study; 23) Knowledge Sharing; 24) Advancing Toward Commercialization Final Stages of the Early Test; 25) CO 2 EOR Feasibility in SECARB Region Limited by CH 4 ; 26) Understanding of CO2 Migration and Entrapment–Cranfield Site

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2015

Southeast Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (SECARB): Completed History Match: Subsurface Plume Development, Early Test

In this paper, we compare 4D seismic interpretations of CO 2 plume evolution with fluid flow numerical simulation results for the SECARB Early test at Cranfield, Mississippi. Historic pressure trends, oil and gas production rates and current CO 2 -EOR production data from the field were history matched and tuned model used for predictive simulations. For CO 2 -EOR operations the tuned model results showing CO 2 plume distribution and CO 2 first arrival (break-through) times in production wells were compared to the available field data. Reasonable matches were observed with breakthrough times. However 4D seismic interpretations of saturated region distributions and simulation results mismatch in some significant ways, likely showing limitations in 4D seismic interpretations for Cranfield. The tuned model then used to predict reservoir response and storage capacity in different field development scenarios. We compared hypothetical scenarios where the operator decided to transition into CO 2 injection without oil production (CO 2 -EORT) when oil production is not economical versus a scenario of continuing with CO 2 -EOR. Our results show that CO 2 -EOR can store more CO 2 and operations will last longer whereas if switched to CO 2 -EORT field has to be abandoned earlier because of out-of-area movement of the CO 2 plume. However, the amount of CO2 stored per year during the operational period is larger for CO 2 -EORT.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2014

Can we treat CO₂ well blowouts like routine plumbing problems? A study of the incidence, impact, and perception of loss of well control

Risk communication literature suggests that for a number of reasons, the public may perceive a risk to be greater than indicated by its statistical probability. Public concern over risk can lead to significant and costly delays in project permitting and operations. Considering these theories, media coverage of CO₂-related well blowouts in 2013 gave rise to the questions: What is the risk of CO₂ well blowouts associated with CCUS through CO₂ EOR? What is the potential public perception of those risks? What information could be used to respond to public concern? To address these questions, this study aims to: 1) provide a framework for understanding the nature of onshore well blowouts, 2) quantify the incidence of such events for three specific geographic regions of Texas, 3) relate this data to CCUS and findings from other studies, and 4) explore the potential implications for public perception of this risk associated with CCUS projects. While quantifying answers to these questions proved to be challenging, the results from this study suggest that (1) the perceived risk of CO₂ well blowouts may exceed the statistical risk and (2) information that could be used to address this gap could be made more readily available to the greater benefit of industry and stakeholders who support the development of CCUS as an option for addressing anthropogenic CO₂ emissions. The study also suggests approaches to best conduct such data inquiries.

02 PETROLEUM↗