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Guthrie, P. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Guthrie, P. D..

Biological methanogenesis and the CO2 greenhouse effect

It is well established that plants tend to increase net photosynthesis under increased carbon dioxide. It is also well established that a large fraction of atmospheric methane is produced by microbial metabolism of organic sediments in paddies and freshwater wetlands, where a major source of organic debris is local plant growth. As CO2 increases, it may lead to increased methane production and a resulting enhancement of the expected greenhouse warming. A rough estimate of the present rate of this biologically mediated feedback on the climate system indicates that it might account for as much as 30 percent of the observed methane increase and speed up the greenhouse forcing by as much as 15 percent.

Guthrie, P. D.

LIMS HNO3 data above 5 mbar - Corrections based on simultaneous observations of other species

The Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere (LIMS) instrument monitored four trace gases (O3, H2O, HNO3, and NO2) and the temperature in the stratosphere and mesosphere. Recently, the seven months LIMS data, including the time from Oct. 25, 1978 to May 29, 1979, have become available to the scientific community. It is pointed out that the measurements are of great use in studying the dynamics and chemistry of the stratosphere. The LIMS HNO3 data appear to show a realistic behavior below 5 mbar, but above 5 mbar, the data appear to be too high. In the present paper, the LIMS HNO3 behavior is discussed, taking into account the reason for the unrealistic appearance of the data. Other LIMS data are used to derive HNO3 above 5 mbar through the intermediate species OH.

Jackman, C. H.

Sensitivity of N2O, CFCl3, and CF2Cl2 two-dimensional distributions to O2 absorption cross sections

A good test of the transport and ultraviolet radiation treatment for any model can be based on the consideration of the three gases N2O, CFCl3 (F-11), and CF2Cl2 (F-12). Attention is given to a two-dimensional model which makes it possible to study changes in seasonal and latitudinal distributions which result from O2 cross-section changes. A latitude-dependent ozone decrease has already been predicted by two-dimensional models for chlorofluoromethane (CFM) release. For this reason, it is of interest to determine if a strong latitude-dependent change is detectable in the CFM profiles. One-dimensional models have pointed toward a trend of decreased trace gas concentrations in correlation with decreased O2 cross sections. The O2 cross sections between 180 and 230 nm are changed within a range of experimentlly allowed values. It is found that lower O2 absorption cross sections lead to larger photodissociation rates for the trace gases F-11, F-12, and N2O.

Jackman, C. H.

Hydrogen species

Measurements of the members of the HO(x) family (OH, HO2, and H2O2) and their major source gases, H2O, and CH4 are discussed. Emphasis is placed on measurements which were made since the 1982 World Meteorologic Organization (WMO) report. Measurement techniques, available data, an assessment of data reliability, and a comparison of the data with theoretical distributions of stratospheric HO(x) species predicted from one and two dimensional photochemical models are discussed.

Schiff, H. I.

Assessment models

The types of models used in assessment of possible chemical perturbations to the stratosphere are reviewed. The statue of one and two dimensional models are discussed. The problem of model validation is covered before the status of photochemical modeling efforts is discussed. A hierarchy of tests for photochemical models is presented.

Pyle, J. A.

A diabatic circulation experiment in a two-dimensional photochemical model

A two-dimensional photochemical model based on diabatic circulation has been used to simulate the behavior of N2O, CFCl3(F-11) and CF2Cl2(F-12) The circulation is based on estimates of net heating from the ground to 60 km. Eddy diffusion has been reduced with respect to other model studies with Kzz = 2000 sq cm/s everywhere bove 100 mbar. Resulting tracer profiles show reasonable agreement with measured profiles in the tropics and fall off much more sharply with altitude than those produced by models using larger values of Kzz. The agreement obtained is at least as good as that obtained with adjustable, eddy diffusion parameters. The diabatic circulation treatment is more closely related to related to real physical processes and thus more easily interpreted. Diffusive mixing appears to be more important in determining the details of the tracer distributions than the basic morphology.

Guthrie, P. D.

Evidence for quasi-periodic components in Dobson network total ozone records

Power spectrum analysis has been applied to the total ozone time series at each of a sample of Dobson stations with records of more than 15 years in the interval 1957 to 1981. The distributions of strongly periodic or quasiperiodic signals in these spectral estimates, for three spectral estimators and two levels of confidence, show distinct features. These appear at the previously known or suspected periods of 3.5-4.0 years, 27 months, and 21 months as well as the previously unreported period of 11.5 months. Possible geophysical implications are discussed.

Guthrie, P. D.