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Gray, Genetha Anne

Publications and source records attributed to Gray, Genetha Anne.

8 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2012

Some Logistical Considerations in Designing a System of Deep Boreholes for Disposal of High-Level Radioactive Waste

Deep boreholes could be a relatively inexpensive, safe, and rapidly deployable strategy for disposing Americaś nuclear waste. To study this approach, Sandia invested in a three year LDRD project entitled “Radionuclide Transport from Deep Boreholes.” In the first two years, the borehole reference design and backfill analysis were completed and the supporting modeling of borehole temperature and fluid transport profiles were done. In the third year, some of the logistics of implementing a deep borehole waste disposal system were considered. This report describes what was learned in the third year of the study and draws some conclusions about the potential bottlenecks of system implementation.

Gray, Genetha Anne↗
DOE OSTI2012

Optimization of Large-Scale Heterogeneous System-of-Systems Models

Decision makers increasingly rely on large-scale computational models to simulate and analyze complex man-made systems. For example, computational models of national infrastructures are being used to inform government policy, assess economic and national security risks, evaluate infrastructure interdependencies, and plan for the growth and evolution of infrastructure capabilities. A major challenge for decision makers is the analysis of national-scale models that are composed of interacting systems: effective integration of system models is difficult, there are many parameters to analyze in these systems, and fundamental modeling uncertainties complicate analysis. This project is developing optimization methods to effectively represent and analyze large-scale heterogeneous system of systems (HSoS) models, which have emerged as a promising approach for describing such complex man-made systems. These optimization methods enable decision makers to predict future system behavior, manage system risk, assess tradeoffs between system criteria, and identify critical modeling uncertainties.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2010

QMU as an Approach to Strengthening the Predictive Capabilities of Complex Models

Complex systems are made up of multiple interdependent parts, and the behavior of the entire system cannot always be directly inferred from the behavior of the individual parts. They are nonlinear and system responses are not necessarily additive. Examples of complex systems include energy, cyber and telecommunication infrastructures, human and animal social structures, and biological structures such as cells. To meet the goals of infrastructure development, maintenance, and protection for cyber-related complex systems, novel modeling and simulation technology is needed. Sandia has shown success using M&S in the nuclear weapons (NW) program. However, complex systems represent a significant challenge and relative departure from the classical M&S exercises, and many of the scientific and mathematical M&S processes must be re-envisioned. Specifically, in the NW program, requirements and acceptable margins for performance, resilience, and security are well-defined and given quantitatively from the start. The Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties (QMU) process helps to assess whether or not these safety, reliability and performance requirements have been met after a system has been developed. In this sense, QMU is used as a sort of check that requirements have been met once the development process is completed. In contrast, performance requirements and margins may not have been defined a priori for many complex systems, (i.e. the Internet, electrical distribution grids, etc.), particularly not in quantitative terms. This project addresses this fundamental difference by investigating the use of QMU at the start of the design process for complex systems. Three major tasks were completed. First, the characteristics of the cyber infrastructure problem were collected and considered in the context of QMU-based tools. Second, UQ methodologies for the quantification of model discrepancies were considered in the context of statistical models of cyber activity. Third, Bayesian methods for optimal testing in the QMU framework were developed. This completion of this project represent an increased understanding of how to apply and use the QMU process as a means for improving model predictions of the behavior of complex systems.

Gray, Genetha Anne↗
DOE OSTI2010

Hybrid optimization schemes for simulation-based problems.

The inclusion of computer simulations in the study and design of complex engineering systems has created a need for efficient approaches to simulation-based optimization. For example, in water resources management problems, optimization problems regularly consist of objective functions and constraints that rely on output from a PDE-based simulator. Various assumptions can be made to simplify either the objective function or the physical system so that gradient-based methods apply, however the incorporation of realistic objection functions can be accomplished given the availability of derivative-free optimization methods. A wide variety of derivative-free methods exist and each method has both advantages and disadvantages. Therefore, to address such problems, we propose a hybrid approach, which allows the combining of beneficial elements of multiple methods in order to more efficiently search the design space. Specifically, in this paper, we illustrate the capabilities of two novel algorithms; one which hybridizes pattern search optimization with Gaussian Process emulation and the other which hybridizes pattern search and a genetic algorithm. We describe the hybrid methods and give some numerical results for a hydrological application which illustrate that the hybrids find an optimal solution under conditions for which traditional optimal search methods fail.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗