Gable, Carl Walter | Engineering Papers

DOE OSTI2023

The influence of permeability anisotropy in the upper ocean crust on advective heat transport by a ridge-flank hydrothermal system

Here, in this study, we highlight the importance of permeability anisotropy on the hydrogeological regime of a ridge-flank hydrothermal system. Our study site, North Pond, is a marine sediment pond on ~8 Ma seafloor in the North Atlantic, and represents a low-temperature, end-member ridge-flank hydrothermal system. Previous simulations of North Pond elucidated long-standing hypotheses concerning hydrothermal fluid and heat transport in the upper volcanic crust but failed to fully explain observed patterns of seafloor heat flux in this area. Here we use variography, a geostatistical method, to quantify relations between seafloor heat-flux measurements, and coupled numerical simulations of fluid and heat flow to simulate the hydrogeologic regime. Directional variography shows that heat-flux observations are correlated along-strike of the regional crustal fabric. Three-dimensional simulations that include permeability anisotropy are able to replicate seafloor heat-flux patterns across North Pond. The simulations that result in the best match to thermal data incorporate permeability anisotropy in the horizontal plane. We find that the feedback between permeability anisotropy and the asymmetric geometry of North Pond combine to promote advective removal of heat and mass within the crustal aquifer. These findings suggest that permeability anisotropy in the oceanic crust may influence ridge-flank hydrothermal circulation more broadly.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Physics-informed machine learning for fault-leakage reduced-order modeling

Geologic carbon storage (GCS) is a promising technology for mitigating CO 2 emissions. The overall success of GCS depends on safe operations that are informed by risk assessment and have proper mitigation plans in place. Performing quantitative probabilistic risk assessment for a GCS site using traditional reservoir simulators can be challenging due to the high computational costs. To overcome this challenge, the US Department of Energy’s National Risk Assessment Partnership (NRAP) project has developed an integrated assessment modeling approach that utilizes computationally efficient reduced-order models (ROM) for simulating various parts of a GCS storage site to quantify uncertainty. Here, in this study, we develop a reduced-order model for fault leakage risk assessment. We use a deep learning approach to build the reduced-order model. We perform a sensitivity analysis and find that the deep learning model yields high accuracy with a much smaller computational cost than full-physics simulation. We also evaluate the performance of the model in scenarios where simulations are not possible to run, providing analysis not previously performed in fault-leakage ROM analyses. Based on a sensitivity analysis of the model, we suggest a simplified conceptual model for fault leakage and site monitoring.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗