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French, Roger

Publications and source records attributed to French, Roger.

Geospatial modeling of near subsurface temperatures of the contiguous United States for assessment of materials degradation

Abstract Understanding subsurface temperature variations is crucial for assessing material degradation in underground structures. This study maps subsurface temperatures across the contiguous United States for depths from 50 to 3500 m, comparing linear interpolation, gradient boosting (LightGBM), neural networks, and a novel hybrid approach combining linear interpolation with LightGBM. Results reveal heterogeneous temperature patterns both horizontally and vertically. The hybrid model performed best achieving a root mean square error of 2.61 °C at shallow depths (50–350 m). Model performance generally decreased with depth, highlighting challenges in deep temperature prediction. State-level analyses emphasized the importance of considering local geological factors. This study provides valuable insights for designing efficient underground facilities and infrastructure, underscoring the need for depth-specific and region-specific modeling approaches in subsurface temperature assessment.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Systems and methods for data analytics for virtual energy audits and value capture assessment of buildings

A system may provide virtual energy audits of one or more target buildings. The system may retrieve weather data and energy usage data specific to a given target building from a weather server and a utility server, respectively. The system may store predefined building characteristics corresponding to the given target building in local memory. Based on the weather data, energy usage data, and/or predefined building characteristics, the system may generate one or more building markers that characterize the energy usage and efficiency of the given target building. Building efficiency diagnostics and energy conservation prognostics may be generated based on the building markers and may be sent by the system to be displayed via a user interface of a client device. The energy conservation prognostics may include one or more energy conservation measure recommendations and corresponding predicted cost/energy savings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Employing Fracture Statistics to Track Cell Reliability Through Module Fabrication

In this work we demonstrate how fracture statistics may be employed to track cell reliability through module fabrication steps. We were able to detect how cell cutting equipment could reduce cell fracture strain by 25 % as well as increase its variability. A smaller reduction was found to result from the ribbon soldering operation, and all cells measured were weaker when strained in an orientation perpendicular to the gridlines. Cell fracture measurements were found to be consistent with the number of cracked cells experienced in full sized modules exposed to mechanical loading. A structural mechanics model was created to elucidate how the requisite fracture strain is developed in a cell encapsulated within a PV module and demonstrates that this strain decreases more than 50 % from its center to edge when placed within the inner loading span of four-point flexure. The associated implications on the apparent cell strength is examined with an effective volume treatment.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Employing Fracture Statistics to Track Cell Reliability Through Module Fabrication

In this work we demonstrate how fracture statistics may be employed to track cell reliability through module fabrication steps. We were able to detect how cell cutting equipment could reduce cell fracture strain by 25 % as well as increase its variability. A smaller reduction was found to result from the ribbon soldering operation, and all cells measured were weaker when strained in an orientation perpendicular to the gridlines. Cell fracture measurements were found to be consistent with the number of cracked cells experienced in full sized modules exposed to mechanical loading. A structural mechanics model was created to elucidate how the requisite fracture strain is developed in a cell encapsulated within a PV module and demonstrates that this strain decreases more than 50 % from its center to edge when placed within the inner loading span of four-point flexure. The associated implications on the apparent cell strength is examined with an effective volume treatment.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Impact of environmental variables on the degradation of photovoltaic components and perspectives for the reliability assessment methodology

Backsheet cracking has been a major issue observed in the field; however, standardized qualification tests, such as IEC61215, are inadequate to reliably identify such failures of PV modules due to the lack of the critical weathering factors applied sequentially or in combination, such as those found in the service environments. To address this problem, in this work we investigated the effects of various environmental variables on the degradation and failure behaviors of the polyamide-based backsheet in PV modules retrieved from five different locations, encompassing a variety of climates, including humid subtropical, hot-summer Mediterranean, tropical savanna climate and hot arid. The correlations between the degradation indicators and the weathering variables were further demonstrated by principle components analysis (PCA). We found strong relationships between: carbonyl formation and reflected solar radiation; hydroxyl formation and module temperature; yellowness and NO2 concentration, while no simple correlation could be found between a specific weathering factor and cracking. By introducing additional stress factors to the aged polyamide-based backsheet films with the novel 'fragmentation test', we successfully reproduced the field cracking behaviour. This study has demonstrated that different degradation modes of PV components respond differently to the environmental stresses encountered in service. Thereby, any accelerated laboratory test based on a single set condition or lacking key environmental variables would be inadequate to assess the long-term performance of PV modules and components. A new reliability-based methodology is proposed to quantitatively link laboratory testing with field results for the service life prediction of PV materials.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Module Level Exposure and Evaluation Test (MLEET) for Real- world and Laboratory-based PV Modules: Common Data and Analytics for Quantitative Cross-correlation and Validation

Our objective is to develop a set of lifetime performance prediction models for PV modules. Models were developed based on common I-V, P mp datastreams from modules under outdoor (real-world) exposure and indoor (laboratory-based) accelerated exposures and temporal analytics. These common datastreams that span both indoor and outdoor exposures were supplemented with additional information such as meteorology data, climate and PV module make/model and module specifications. The predictive models were developed using a stressor/mechanism/response framework in which all data are categorized as stressor, mechanism or performance variables and are represented as time-series datastreams. We develop and validate these accelerated indoor exposures and evaluation tests and models and cross-correlate the temporal signatures of PV module degradation mechanisms in the I-V, P mp time-series between outdoor and accelerated indoor tests. The predictive test and model specify indoor and outdoor exposure and data acquisition criteria, variable selection, and temporal duration and variance.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Backsheets: Correlation of Long-Term Field Reliability with Accelerated Laboratory Testing

Our objective is to develop for backsheets a predictive tests and a model based on point-in-time data from analytical techniques and datastreams that are applicable to both outdoor and indoor PV module backsheet studies and are supplemented with meteorology data, climatic and brand/model, and other accessible information. The predictive tests and models will specify indoor and outdoor exposure and evaluation data acquisition criteria, variable selection, and temporal duration and variation so as to be able to predict backsheet performance in various climatic zones. This backsheet performance prediction is based on defined backsheet failures in the field, and is quantified by tracking backsheet degradation in the field so as to determine degradation rates.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Photovoltaic Array Differential Backside Exposure Conditions: Backsheet Degradation and Site Design

Backsheet exposure conditions and degradation are shown to vary significantly within an array. This is demonstrated by a survey of the NIST ground-mounted photovoltaic array, which is comprised of over 1000 modules of a single brand with a polyester-based backsheet. Site and array design factors are found to have significant effects on the exposure conditions, and thus degradation of the backsheets. Irradiance is found to be the most significant exposure factor which varies within the array.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Data Analytics for Alloy Qualification

9-12% Cr-steels are used as structural material in boiler and turbine (rotor/casing) applications, with a power plant designed to operate for at least 30 years at either sub- or supercritical conditions (high pressure and temperature). In high-efficiency power plants, some components must withstand high stress and temperature for 100,000 h of operation without failure (Abe, 2011; Abe, et al., 2008; Coleman & Newell Jr., 2007; Viswanathan, 1989; Viswanathan & Bakker, 2001; Viswanathan & Bakker, 2001; Masuyama, 2001). Motivation for this project came from the need for rigorous and time-consuming alloy qualification (standardization) process, for crucial applications. Material scientists have traditionally manipulated alloying element composition and thermomechanical processing to achieve specific mechanical properties in alloys. The goals of this work were to develop a systematic and data-centric framework for analysis and characterization of materials information, to explore new alloy compositions and/or processing, and to better predict stress-rupture lifetime and other mechanical properties. A small subset of carbon steels with similar ferritic or martensitic lath microstructure (and average prior austenite grain size) was chosen for this analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Degradation Analysis of Field-Exposed Photovoltaic Modules with Non-Fluoropolymer-Based Backsheets

The selection of polymeric materials utilized in photovoltaic (PV) modules has changed relatively little since the inception of the PV industry, with ethylene-vinyl acetate (EVA), polyethylene terephthalate (PET), and fluoropolymer-based laminates being the most widely adopted primary components of the encapsulant and backsheet materials. The backsheet must serve to electrically insulate the solar cells and protect them from the effects of weathering. Due to continued downward pressure on cost, other polymeric materials are being formulated to withstand outdoor exposure for use in backsheets to replace either the PET film, the fluoropoymer film, or both. Because of their relatively recent deployment, less is known about their reliability and if they are durable enough to fulfill the greater than or equal to 25 year warranties of current PV modules. This work presents a degradation analysis of field-exposed modules with polyamide- and polyester-based backsheets. Modules were exposed for up to five years in different geographic locations: USA (Maryland, Ohio), China, and Italy. Surface and cross-sectional analysis included visual inspection, colorimetry, glossimetry, and Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy. Each module experienced different types of degradation depending on the exposure site, even for the same material and module brand. For instance, the polyamide-based backsheet experienced hairline cracking and greater yellowing and chemical changes in China (Changsu, humid subtropical climate), while in Italy (Rome, hot-summer Mediterranean climate) it underwent macroscopic cracking and greater losses in gloss. Spectroscopic studies have permitted identification of degradation products and changes in polymer structure over time. Comparisons are made to fielded modules with fluoropolymer-based backsheets, as well as backsheet materials in accelerated laboratory exposures. Implications for qualification testing and service life prediction of the non-fluoropolymer-based backsheets are discussed.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗