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Donnelly, R. F.

Publications and source records attributed to Donnelly, R. F..

At least 19 records
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NASA NTRS1994

Change in the radiative output of the Sun in 1992 and its effect in the thermosphere

Ground and space measurements of the solar spectral irradiance at radio, visible, UV, and X ray wavelengths show a large decline in the first 6 months of 1992. This sustained drop in the solar output is important in understanding the connection between the emergent magnetic flux on the Sun and the radiative output as well as in understanding the effects of such change in the upper atmosphere of the earth. We present preliminary estimates of the observed changes as the means to spur inquiry into this solar event in the declining phase of solar cycle 22. Typical decreases are 15% in Lyman alpha and 40% in 10.7-cm radio flux. Mass spectrometer and incoherent scatter model calculations at 600 km in the thermosphere indicate a 30% decrease in the temperature and a 3X decrease in the density of the thermosphere near the altitude where both the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) and Hubble Space Telescope (HST) are flying. Decrease of the orbital period of the UARS shows the expected effect of decreasing density at flight altitude. Work in progress indicates that the output change results from the decline in solar magnetic flux to a lower level of activity in the southern hemisphere of the Sun.

White, O. R.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Variability of solar ultraviolet irradiance

A model of solar Lyman alpha irradiance developed by multiple linear regression analysis, including the daily values and 81-day running means of the full disk equivalent width of the Helium line at 1083 nm, predicts reasonably well both the short- and long-term variations observed in Lyman alpha. In contrast, Lyman alpha models calculated from the 10.7-cm radio flux overestimate the observed variations in the rising portion and maximum period of solar cycle, and underestimates them during solar minimum. Models are shown of Lyman alpha based on the He-line equivalent width and 10.7-cm radio flux for those time intervals when no satellite observations exist, namely back to 1974 and after April 1989, when the measurements of the Solar Mesosphere Satellite were terminated.

Pap, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Modelling solar irradiances using ground-based measurements

The first results of photometric measurements of Ca-K plage remnants are presented. They show that during the fall of 1986 the remnants gave a significant contribution to the irradiance variations and that the averaged remnant component is less than assumed in the present UV models. The contribution of the plage remnants to the combined plage and remnant index was on average about 13 percent, and it changed with time.

Pap, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Dynamic Power Spectral Analysis of Solar Measurements from Photospheric, Chromospheric, and Coronal Sources

An important aspect in the power spectral analysis of solar variability is the quasistationary and quasiperiodic nature of solar periodicities. In other words, the frequency, phase, and amplitude of solar periodicities vary on time scales ranging from active region lifetimes to solar cycle time scales. Here, researchers employ a dynamic, or running, power spectral density analysis to determine many periodicities and their time-varying nature in the projected area of active sunspot groups (S sub act). The Solar Maximum Mission/Active Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitor (SMM/ACRIM) total solar irradiance (S), the Nimbus-7 MgII center-to-wing ratio (R (MgII sub c/w)), the Ottawa 10.7 cm flux (F sub 10.7), and the GOES background x ray flux (X sub b) for the maximum, descending, and minimum portions of solar cycle 21 (i.e., 1980 to 1986) are used. The technique dramatically illustrates several previously unrecognized periodicities. For example, a relatively stable period at about 51 days has been found in those indices which are related to emerging magnetic fields. The majority of solar periodicities, particularly around 27, 150 and 300 days, are quasiperiodic because they vary in amplitude and frequency throughout the solar cycle. Finally, it is shown that there are clear differences between the power spectral densities of solar measurements from photospheric, chromospheric, and coronal sources.

Bouwer, S. D.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Modeling Solar Lyman Alpha Irradiance

Solar Lyman alpha irradiance is estimated from various solar indices using linear regression analyses. Models developed with multiple linear regression analysis, including daily values and 81-day running means of solar indices, predict reasonably well both the short- and long-term variations observed in Lyman alpha. It is shown that the full disk equivalent width of the He line at 1083 nm offers the best proxy for Lyman alpha, and that the total irradiance corrected for sunspot effect also has a high correlation with Lyman alpha.

Pap, J.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Temporal variations of solar EUV, UV, and 10,830-A radiations

The temporal characteristics of the full-disk chromospheric EUV fluxes agree well with those of the ground-based measurements of the chromospheric He I absorption line at 10,830 A and differ systematically from those of the coronal EUV and 10.7-cm flux. The ratio of the flux increase during the rise of solar cycle 21 to that during solar rotation variations is uniformly high for the chromospheric EUV and corroborating 10,830-A fluxes, highest for the transition region and 'cool' coronal EUV fluxes (T less than 2 x 10 to the 6th K), and lowest for the 'hot' coronal EUV and 10.7-cm flux. The rise and decay rates of episodes of major activity progress from those for the hot coronal EUV lines and the 10.7-cm flux to slower values for the chromospheric H Lyman alpha line, 10,830-A line, and photospheric 2050-A UV flux. It is suggested that active region remnants contribute significantly to the solar cycle increase and during the decay of episodes of major activity. The ratio of power in 13-day periodicity to that for 27 days in high (1/3) for the photospheric UV flux, medium (1/6) for the chromospheric EUV and 10,830-A fluxes, and small to negligible for the hot coronal EUV fluxes. These ratios are used to estimate the dependence of active region emission on the solar central meridian distance for chromospheric and coronal EUV flux.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Temporal characteristics of the solar UV flux and He I line at 1083 nm

It is pointed out that the solar UV flux in the 170- to 210-nm range is important because it photodissociates O2 in the terrestrial atmosphere and thereby initiates the production of ozone and other odd-oxygen chemistry in the stratosphere. The 210- to 290-nm solar UV flux heats the stratosphere. There is consequently a great interest in the temporal variations of the solar UV flux and its relation to ground-based measures of solar activity which may be useful in estimating the UV flux variations. The present investigation is concerned with daily values of 205-nm solar UV flux data measured with the aid of the Nimbus 7 satellite during the period from November 1978 to November 1982, taking into account also measurements of the equivalent width of the He I solar absorption line at 1083 at the National Solar Observatory. Attention is given to an analysis of the data, episodes of activity, and long-term variations.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Solar UV radiation variations and their stratospheric and climatic effects

Nimbus-7 SBUV measurements of the short-term solar UV variations caused by solar rotation and active-region evolution have determined the amplitude and wavelength dependence for the active-region component of solar UV variations. Intermediate-term variations lasting several months are associated with rounds of major new active regions. The UV flux stays near the peak value during the current solar cycle variation for more than two years and peaks about two years later than the sunspot number. Nimbus-7 measurements have observed the concurrent stratospheric ozone variations caused by solar UV variations. There is now no doubt that solar UV variations are an important cause of short- and long-term stratospheric variations, but the strength of the coupling to the troposphere and to climate has not yet been proven.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1984

NIMBUS-7 SBUV (Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet) observations of solar UV spectral irradiance variations caused by solar rotation and active-region evolution for the period November 7, 1978 - November 1, 1980

Observations of temporal variations of the solar UV spectral irradiance over several days to a few weeks in the 160-400 nm wavelength range are presented. Larger 28-day variations and a second episode of 13-day variations occurred during the second year of measurements. The thirteen day periodicity is not a harmonic of the 28-day periodicity. The 13-day periodicity dominates certain episodes of solar activity while others are dominated by 28-day periods accompanied by a week 14-day harmonic. Techniques for removing noise and long-term trends are described. Time series analysis results are presented for the Si II lines near 182 nm, the Al I continuum in the 190 nm to 205 nm range, the Mg I continuum in the 210 nm to 250 nm range, the MgII H & K lines at 280 nm, the Mg I line at 285 nm, and the Ca II K & H lines at 393 and 397 nm.

Heath, D. F.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Temporal Variations of Solar UV Spectral Irradiance Caused by Solar Rotation and Active Region Evolution

Variations in the solar 100 to 400 nm UV spectral irradiance caused by solar rotation and active region evolution, are discussed as a function of UV wavelength, CMD dependence, and in relation to the temporal variations in the total solar irradiance, 10.7 cm radio flux, sunspot number and Ca K plage data. Active region radiation at cm wavelengths includes a component proportional to the magnetic field. Active region evolution involves a more rapid growth, peak and decay of sunspots and their strong magnetic fields than the Ca K plages and their related UV enhancements. Major plages often last a rotation or more longer than the active region's sunspots. Large active regions, including those associated with major dips in the total solar irradiance, tend to produce the strongest peaks in 10.7 cm and sunspot numbers on their first rotation, while the Ca K plages and UV enhancements peak on the next rotation and decay more slowly on subsequent rotations. Differences in CMD dependencies cause temporal differences including the stronger presence of 13 day variations in the UV flux.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Differences in the temporal variations of solar UV flux, 10.7-cm solar radio flux, sunspot number, and Ca-K plage data caused by solar rotation and active region evolution

Attention is given to two types of temporal variations in the solar UV spectral irradiance caused by solar rotation and active region evolution. It is noted that the first type of dissimilar temporal behavior occurs when concentrations of solar active regions evolve at solar longitudes nearly 180 deg apart. Both the UV observations and modeled UV fluxes based on Ca-K plage data then exhibit pronounced 13-day periodicity, whereas the 10.7-cm solar radio flux and sunspot number exhibit quite dissimilar temporal variations. This type of dissimilarity is related to the modeled UV flux and has a dependence on the solar central meridian distance that is narrower than that for the 10.7-cm radio flux or for sunspot numbers. A second case of marked dissimilarity is seen when major new solar active regions arise and dominate the full-disk fluxes for several rotations. It is found that the strongest peaks in 10.7 cm and sunspot numbers tend to occur on their first rotation, for example, during major dips in the total solar irradiance, whereas the Ca-K plages and UV enhancements peak on the next rotation and then decay more slowly on subsequent rotations.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1982

A three-component model of the variability of the solar ultraviolet flux 145-200 nM

The variability of the ultraviolet flux between 145 and 200 nm over both the eleven-year cycle and the 27-day solar rotation period is examined in terms of chromospheric activity, as determined from ground-based observations of the CaII K chromosphere. A three-component model of the solar UV flux is developed which includes the contributions to the full disk flux from both plage and active network emission. Solar cycle and solar rotation variations derived from the model are compared with the results of satellite and rocket experiments and with the two-component model of Cook et al (1980). Finally, possible ways of improving the model are discussed.

Lean, J. L.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Active-region evolution and solar rotation variations in solar UV irradiance, total solar irradiance, and soft X rays

Variations in the total solar irradiance, solar UV spectral irradiance, and solar soft X-ray emission caused by active region evolution and solar rotation are analyzed by using concurrent measurements from the NIMBUS 7 and GOES satellites. The observations are interpreted by using simple empirical models that relate ground-based observations of the size and location of sunspots and plages to the full-disk temporal variations. It is found that the major dips in the photospheric total solar irradiance S, which are evident in both satellite measurements and model predictions, are usually not accompanied by outstanding enhancements in the chromospheric and upper photospheric UV spectral irradiance or coronal X rays. The main cause of this difference between the variability of S and of the UV flux is that the total chromospheric plage enhancements are not outstanding at those times when the total sunspot are outstanding. X rays are even more variable because of a much wider CMD sensitivity.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Relationship between hard X-ray and EUV sources in solar flares

The high time resolution hard X-ray (not less than 15 keV) observations of medium and large impulsive solar flares made with the OSO 5 satellite are compared with the simultaneous ground-based observations of 10-1030 A EUV flux made via sudden frequency deviations (SFD) at Boulder. For most flares the agreement between the times of maxima of the impulsive hard X-ray and EUV emissions is found to be consistent with earlier studies (not less than 1 s). The rise and decay times of the EUV emission are larger than the corresponding times for X-rays not less than 30 keV. When OSO 5 hard X-ray measurements are combined with those made by OGO1, OGO 3, OGO 5, and TD 1A satellites, it is found that there is a nearly linear relationship between the energy fluxes of impulsive EUV emission and X-rays not less than 10 keV over a wide range of flare magnitudes. A model involving only a 'partial precipitation' of energetic electrons and consisting of both thick and thin target hard X-ray sources is examined.

Kane, S. R.↗
NASA NTRS1979

The equatorial total electron content and shape factor

The diurnal variations of electron content and shape factor observed at an equatorial station during sunspot minimum are shown to be consistent with the electron density profiles observed at Jicamarca during sunspot minimum. The rapid increase in electron content and the shape factor at sunrise results from the EUV production of ionization in the E and F regions. Day-to-day variations in daytime electron content are observed to be quite small at the equator. The evening decrease in the shape factor results from an upward drift of the F region at sunset and the evening decay of the E and bottomside F regions. The nighttime peak or plateau in the shape factor is produced by the slow downward drift of the electron density profile. The deep predawn dip in the shape factor is caused by the main peak of the F layer reaching low altitudes where high loss rates cause a large reduction in ionization below 300 km and very flat electron density profile.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Solar-terrestrial Predictions Proceedings. Volume 1: Prediction Group Reports

The current practice in solar terrestrial predictions is reviewed with emphasis of prediction, warning, and monitoring services. Topics covered include: ionosphere-reflected HF radio propagation; radiation hazards for manned space flights and high altitude and high latitude aircraft flights; and geomagnetic activity.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1979

ATS-6 satellite radio beacon measurements at Ootacamund, India

ATS-6 radio beacon measurements of modulation phase and Faraday rotation made at Ootacamund, India in 1975-1976 are discussed with emphasis on the measurement and analysis errors. The modulation-phase errors are insensitive to the geomagnetic field and provide an accurate determination of the total columnar electron content. Comparison of modulation-phase measurements at different frequencies shows a minor sensitivity to the ATS-6 pitch angle. For the low geomagnetic latitude and nearly transverse propagation conditions of Ootacamund, the use of a fixed conversion coefficient gives an unreliable Faraday content. However, the Faraday rotation measurements may be used to determine the shape factor F, which provides information about the electron density height profile.

Davies, K.↗