The Extratropical 40-Day Oscillation in the UCLA General Circulation Model. Part II: Spatial
We examine intraseasonal oscillations in a three-year, perpetual-January simulation using a version.
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Publications and source records attributed to Dickey, J. O..
We examine intraseasonal oscillations in a three-year, perpetual-January simulation using a version.
Earth rotation data were obtained with GPS during the EPOCH '92 campaign in the summer of 1992. About 10 days of data were acquired from 25 globally distributed stations and a constellation of 17 GPS satellites.
Laser ranging measurements to single satellite are sensitive to the Earth's gravitational field and its temporal variations. Using 13 years (1980-1992) of LAGEOS I laser ranging data, we have recovered monthly mean linear combinations of even and odd degree zonal spherical harmonic coefficients of the Earth's gravitational field.
Poleward propagation of atmosperic angular momentum (AAM) anomalies, originating on the equator and penetrating to high latitudes in both hemispheres in conjunction wth the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, was established for the period 1976-1991 by Dickey et al.
Seasonal variations in the speed of the Earth's rotation manifest themselves as fluctuations in the length of the day (LOD) with an amplitude of about 1000 microseconds. We know from previous work that at least 95% of these variations can be accounted for in terms of angular momentum exchanged between the atmosphere and the solid Earth. Here we examine the respective contributions of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) and the global oceans to the Earth's seasonal angular momentum budget, using in situ data from the Drake Passage and results from both the oceanic regional model (Fine Resolution Antarctic Model -- FRAM) of Webb et al. (1991) and the global ocanic model of Maier-Reimer et al. (1993) as analyzed by Brosche et al. (1990). The estimated annual contribution of the ACC (2-4 microsec) is much smaller than the total variation in the oceanic models or the existing LOD-AAM residual (both approximately 15-20 microsec). The estimated semi-annual ACC contribution (3-8 microsec) is offset by counter-current further north in both oceanic models, which exhibit larger semi-annual variations in planetary angular momentum. Further refinements in the Earth's seasonal angular momentum budget, therefore, will require the full (planetary plus relative) contribution of the global oceans in addition to that of the ACC.
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Methods to combine the diverse set of geodetic measurements of Earth orientation that are currently available, and to interpolate and extrapolate these data to generate an optimal estimate of Earth orientation, have been under development at JPL for a number of years. The strategy currently in use is a Kalman filtering scheme based on Earth orentation parameters and their excitation functions that incorporates stochastic models of the important physical processes and takes into account the variable form, quality, and temporal density of the data provided by diffent measurement services.
The Kalman Earth Orientation Filter (KEOF) is used at JPL to combine independent observations of the Earth's rotation parameters, producing smoothed, interpolated estimates of polar motion (PM) and UT1-TAI, as well as estimates of their excitation functions such as the length-of-day (lod). Prior to their combination, adjustments to the data sets are made in order to place them within a common reference frame. Recently, a number of lod data sets have been determined at JPL by combining the observations summarized in Table 1. The resulting lod data sets, summarized in Table 2, span different time intervals depending upon the particular subset of observations being combined, with the longest series, spanning 1630-1990, being obtained by combining all of the observations. The determination of these lod data sets and their comparison with series of climate indicators such as the Southern Oscillation Index will be discussed.
Earth rotation measurements were obtained using Global Positioning System (GPS) data for 11 days during the Epoch '92 campaign in the Summer of 1992.
Earth rotation measurements were obtained using Global Positioning System (GPS) data for 11 days during the Epoch '92 campaign in the Summer of 1992. Earth orientation was measured simultaneously with several very long baseline interferornetry (VLBI) networks. These data were processed to yield both GPS and VLBI estimates of UT1 with 3-hour time resolution, which were then compared and analyzed. The high frequency behavior of both data sets is similar, although drifts between the two series of approx.0,1 ms over 2-5 days are evident, Models for tidally induced UT1 variations and estimates of atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) at 6-hour intervals were also compared with the geodetic data, These studies indicate that most of the geodetic signal in the diurnal and semidiurnal frequency bands can be attributed to tidal processes, and that UT1 variations over a few days are mostly atmospheric in origin.
Fluctuations in stmospheric angular momentum (AAM) are examined in a three-year simulation of the perpetual-January climate, performed with of a version of the UCLA general circulation model which contains no tropical, Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO).
Global climate change, whether from natural or man-made causes, can be expected to lead to changes in the Earth's rotation. General Circulation Models (GCMs) of the atmosphere that have been used to study the effects of changes in the amount of atmospheric greenhouse gasses general predict the globally averaged temperature to increase by 1 degree to 4 degrees C during the next century. This temperature increase is not expected to occur uniformly over the globe, but should exhibit regional variations. This changing atmospheric temperature field will cause changes in the atmospheric wind field and hence in the atmospheric angular momentum (AAM). Since the angular momentum of the atmosphere-solid Earth system is conserved, a thermally-induced change in the AAM will cause consequent changes in the rotation of the solid Earth...
A study is presented of the latitudinal redistribution of angular momentum within the atmosphere from 1976 to 1991. Slow global-scale coherent poleward propagation of atmospheric angular momentum fluctuations are observed on interannual timescales. These originate in equatorial regions, where they lead the main atmospheric anomalies of the ENSO cycle by nearly two yrs; they penetrate to latitude higher than 60 deg in both hemispheres, where they lag behind the ENSO cycle by about four yrs. The bimodality of the ENSO phenomenon, with a low-frequency component centered at a period close to 4.2 yrs and a high-frequency component centered near 2.4 yrs, can also be distinguished. Each of the two components has a distinct latitudinal propagation pattern.
Irregular length of day (LOD) fluctuations on time scales of less than a few years are largely produced by atmospheric torques on the underlying planet. Significant coherence is found between the respective time series of LOD and atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) determinations at periods down to 8 days, with lack of coherence at shorter periods caused by the declining signal-to-measurement noise ratios of both data types. Refinements to the currently accepted model of tidal earth rotation variations are required, incorporating in particular the nonequilibrium effect of the oceans. The remaining discrepancies between LOD and AAM in the 100- to 10-day period range may be due to either a common error in the AAM data sets from different meteorological centers, or another component of the angular momentum budget.
The 40-50-d oscillation in length-of-day (LOD) and AAM is investigated using the 12-yr overlap between two records: AAM data, compiled from the NMC, and LOD variation from the JPL Kalman-filtered earth rotation series. The NMC records are analyzed by latitude belts, in the light of the UCLA GCM results, in order to identify possibly distinct sources of the AAM oscillation in the midlatitudes and the tropics. Results suggest that two intraseasonal oscillations exist in the earth-atmosphere system: a tropical 50-d oscillation associated with the convectively driven waves of the type first described by Madden and Julian (1971) and a midlatitude 40-d oscillation associated with the interaction of nonzonal flow with topography.
Two decades oflunar laser ranges have been analyzed to determine corrections to the earth's luni-solar precession constant and 18.6 yr nutation coefficients. The correction to the IAU-adopted precession constant is -2.7 + or - 0.4 milliarcsec/yr (mas/yr), giving the luni-solar precession constant as 50.3851 arcsec/yr at J2000. The 18.6 yr nutation of the pole is found to be 3.0 + or - 1.5 mas larger in magnitude than the 1980 IAU series. The correction to the annual term, previously discovered by VLBI, is found to be 1.8 + or - 0.5 mas if assumed to be a circular correction to the nutation of the pole.
Continuing improvements in the lasers and the detection electronics over the years which have led to accurate measurements of the distance from the earth to the moon are discussed. The first reflector of laser light pulses, deployed on the moon surface twenty years ago by the Apollo 11 astronauts, consisted of 100 fused silica corner cubes, and reflected a beam of light directly back toward its point of origin. Observatories located in Texas, Hawaii, and France now regularly range the moon with an accuracy of approximately 1 inch. Ranging programs have also been carried out in Australia and the Soviet Union. The ranges are computer-analyzed to determine precisely the positions of the observatories on earth, the positions of the reflectors on the moon, the orbit of the moon around the earth, and the rotation and orientation of the earth and the moon. The most important scientific advances derived from lunar ranging are also reviewed.