Evaluating Short-warning Mitigation via Intentional Robust Disruption of a Hypothetical Impact of Asteroid 2023 NT1
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Darrel Robertson.
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Sample return missions seek to collect samples from planets, moons, asteroids, and other planetary bodies and return them to earth for in-depth analysis. Backward planetary protection requirements are often in place for such missions to prevent the introduction of any extra-terrestrial material into the Earth’s biosphere, which could occur if a meteoroid or space debris particle were to damage a critical part of the returning spacecraft. The ability of a shielding system used to mitigate this damage risk is typically characterized by a ballistic limit equation (BLE), which predicts whether or not a protected system or structural element will sustain a critical failure due to a high-speed impact. In this paper, we develop a particle-impact-based BLE for the thermal protection system (TPS) of a sample return spacecraft that is protected by a multi-shock shield. The predictions of the BLE we develop for TPS failure are shown to be consistent with the predictions of hydrocode simulations.
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Lessons from Analogs - Hurricanes - Forecasting in time to take action - Large scale evacuations - Risk tolerance - Nuclear Explosions - Effects of large blast waves - Shelters - Fatality rates Application to Asteroid Impacts - PDC 2021: small, little warning, poorly constrained - PDC 2023: large, well characterized
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