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Cooke, Alan L.

Publications and source records attributed to Cooke, Alan L..

Emerging Best Practices for Electric Utility Planning with Climate Variability: A Resource for Utilities and Regulators

This report is intended to support electric utilities and regulators as they work together to increase the climate resilience of the power system in the United States. It focuses on best practice methods and examples of conducting utility forecasting with climate change (Section 2) as well as three overlapping types of electric utility planning for climate change: resource planning (Section 3), asset planning (Section 4), and contingency planning (Section 5). This report also addresses data development and access (Section 6), emerging pathways for planning including decision-making under deep uncertainty and storylines approaches (Section 7), regulatory considerations (Section 8), and coordination and innovative funding and cost sharing approaches to planning for climate variability (Section 9).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Review of Water and Climate Change Analysis in Electric Utility Integrated Resource Planning

The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent to which electric utility integrated resource plans (IRPs) evaluate the impact of water constraints on electric generation resource portfolios and the extent to which IRPs consider the impacts of climate change to generation and loads. This white paper reviewed 30 IRPs to determine best practices with respect to analyzing and reporting on potential water-based and climate change risks within the integrated resource planning process. Best practices from electric utility IRPs are identified and additional recommendations and considerations are put forth. In recent years, thermal generating facilities have experienced challenges with water availability: a shortage of cooling water, conditions in which incoming cooling water is too warm for optimal operation, and/or water discharge temperatures exceeding permit limits. S&P Global Market Intelligence recently reported on a study that identified for the year 2030, 98.2 gigawatts (GW) of coal capacity at risk due to water stress. Climate change effects on hydrological cycles may adjust the timing, temperature, and volume of water availability for thermal electric cooling and for hydropower generation, which could further exacerbate the frequency and duration of operational constraints. Climate change can also impact the timing and intensity of electric loads that utilities must serve, most notably for heating and cooling.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Review of Marine Renewable Energy in Integrated Resource Plans

As part of a literature review of reference material for grid applications of marine hydrokinetic energy capture technologies, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) surveyed U.S. electric utility integrated resource plans for the mention or treatment of marine renewable energy technologies, principally wave energy, tidal energy, and offshore wind energy. This review offers a window into utility decision-making and data utilization with regard to these generating technologies. The report also offers perspectives on the relationship between traditional and emerging resource planning paradigms and metrics.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Energy Storage in Integrated Resource Plans

Energy Storage in Integrated Resource Plans (IRPs) documents a review of how IRPs treated energy storage, particularly batteries and pumped storage hydro storage. The review examined IRPs available in fall 2017 and winter/early spring 2018, examining whether IRPs included storage at all, how many of the services provided by storage were included, the costs assumed for storage, and other factors. This report summarizes the results of the review.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Grid Modernization: Metrics Analysis (GMLC1.1) - Affordability (Reference Document, Volume 6)

The GMLC Metric Team: 1) Identified important, but often overlooked, affordability metrics that measure the impacts of electricity costs on residential customers (customer cost burden, affordability gap, and affordability headcount gap); 2) Created a public-facing website for the residential sector that compiles publicly available data and displays affordability metrics at both the state and county level; and 3) demonstrated the use of the metrics and website for three remote village utilities in Alaska and a major electricity utility in California, Southern California Edison (SCE).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Applying the Transactive Systems Business Value Model to IRP

As part of the Transactive Systems Program at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, a value modeling system was developed to support the evaluation of transactive systems. The technique is general enough to be applied outside transactive systems and to demonstrate this capability, a project was undertaken to use this value modeling technique as a means for modeling the valuation process undertaken by vertically integrated utilities when undergoing integrated resource planning (IRP). IRP is the process by which vertically integrated utilities (those that both serve customers directly as well as manage and run generation assets to do so) regularly go through to demonstrate to their regulators that they have a plan to meet the expected future load of their customers in a least cost and compliant manner. Traditionally this has been primarily an issue of how many and of which types of power plants to build but increasingly has included alternative measures such as demand response programs. Increasingly, environmental regulations play a significant role in both determine what types of power plants can be built under current regulations as well as what retrofits or upgrades need to be made to existing plants to allow them to continue to operate. Two use-case diagrams were constructed, one showing the showing the process by which IRP is carried out and another showing how a vertically integrated utility procures the resources it requires to meet load now and in the future. These diagrams help clarify the difference and provide a high-level outline of the two processes. A class diagram was constructed to clearly define the types of actors that would be considered in this model and the relationships between them. This diagram tacitly indicates which types of actors are and are not included in the model which provides significant guidance in defining the scope of the model. The relationship between the classes/actors provides further indication of what areas of the model have higher levels of detail and by implication bear more significance in modeling the system. Using the classes/actors defined in the class diagram, a business value diagram was constructed that defines the key value streams exchanged between the actors. This diagram provides a clear expression of the business case of the vertically integrated utility and who its counterparties are during the process of meeting load. These value streams have not only to do with meeting the load but doing so in a manner that meets environmental regulations. Increasingly, IRPs have three key metrics to evaluate a given plant to meet load: net present value of revenue required, emissions, and renewable energy credits. From this business value diagram, more detailed activity diagrams were formed that focus on a few of the key value stream exchanges, showing the process by which each party accrues value. These diagrams provide insight into the timing and sequence of the interactions in a way that the business value diagrams did not. The transactive value model was found to be highly compatible with IRP and provided a clear, simple model of the analysis done during IRP and key metrics driving IRP decisions. In particular it highlighted a few key items that may or may not have been as clear prior to the development of the model. Specifically, the role of the environmental regulations has become increasingly important and two of the three key metrics by which IRPs are typically evaluated are environmentally focused. Additionally, though generally not acknowledged, the role of the investor was included in this model as they are an essential source of capital in building new power plants and cannot be ignored when defining the business case of the vertically integrated utility.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Understanding the U.S. Commercial Building Stock: Building Envelope and HVAC Systems Characteristics Using 2012 CBECS Data Analysis

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and its national labs developed a series of commercial reference building models in 2007. Over the past decade, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, in support of DOE’s Building Energy Codes Program, expanded these prototype building models to comply with multiple editions of national model codes and standards, including both ASHRAE Standard 90.1 and International Energy Conservation Code. The prototype building models established a credible foundation to develop new requirements in building codes and standards, track progress of codes and standards, and evaluate the energy saving potential of new technologies or systems in the commercial building sector. The 2003 Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) was the primary data source used to develop the original models. Given the recent release of 2012 CBECS data, this paper characterizes the most representative design choices for building envelope and HVAC systems in recently-constructed commercial buildings. The results from this analysis provide actionable insight for future commercial building research in reflection of recent construction practices.

energy efficiency, building energy codes, CBECS, b↗

Distribution System Planning - State Examples by Topic

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) recently completed a study on how regulators in 16 states have dealt with questions related to distribution system planning (DSP) and distributed energy resource (DER) utilization. During the study, DOE and three of its national laboratories developed a significant amount of information on state-level activities including grid modernization planning; distribution planning; tools for integrating distributed energy resources (DERs) (e.g., hosting capacity analysis and tools for maximizing the value of DERs to the distribution system such as locational value analyses); and linkages between distribution planning and related processes such as cost recovery through general rate cases or rate surcharges. The Oregon Public Utility Commission (Commission) requested assistance from DOE on a list of specific questions related to DSP. The Commission was specifically interested in identifying guidance on the creation of comprehensive and transparent utility distribution system plans; on the linkages between such plans and other utility planning processes such as integrated resource planning; improved forecasting and representation of DERs in distribution system plans and other plans such as integrated resource planning; valuation of DERs; and a roadmap for optimized locational planning for DERs. In response to their interests, we have identified 1) specific topics from the original study that would be of assistance to the Commission and 2) states that could provide potential examples or templates to draw from. In this report, we have summarized and reorganized the pertinent original material by subject. We also developed a matrix that points to specific examples for each topic and provide one or two paragraph summaries of each possible template for each topic area with web links directly to the source documents. For some cases in which states have taken significant steps since the publication of the original DOE study, the original source information has been supplemented to ensure the information provided to the Commission remains current. Finally, we called out a small number of especially pertinent or immediately useful documents and have highlighted these in the introductory section. This report documents the material developed for the Oregon Commission by DOE.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Analysis for Building Envelopes and Mechanical Systems Using 2012 CBECS Data

This report describes the aggregation and mapping of certain building characteristics data available in the most recent Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) (DOE EIA 2012) to describe most typical building construction practices. This report provides summary data for potential use in the support of modifications to the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory’s commercial building prototypes used for building energy code analysis. Specifically, this report outlines findings and most typical design choices for certain building envelope and heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) system choices.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

State Engagement in Electric Distribution System Planning

Electric distribution system planning is focused on assessing needed physical and operational changes to the local grid to maintain safe, reliable, and affordable service. While electric utilities have always engaged in this activity, the planning horizon has typically been short and involvement by state utility regulators minimal. Safety, reliability, and affordability remain top objectives for deeper state engagement in longer-term distribution system planning. Other drivers are proposed utility investments to replace aging infrastructure and modernize grids, opportunities to improve distribution system efficiency, enabling consumers to have greater control over energy costs and sources, and integrating higher levels of distributed energy resources (DERs) such as rooftop solar, distributed energy storage, and price-responsive demand. This report provides a snapshot of current state engagement in distribution system planning: •Part 1 describes activities in states that have adopted some elements of integrated distribution system planning and analysis (see Figure 1): New York, California, Hawaii, Massachusetts, and Minnesota. It summarizes their impetus for early action, stated goals, regulatory requirements, additional state activities related to distribution system planning, and next steps. •Part 2 covers a broader array of state approaches throughout the country. For example, some of these states have long-standing distribution reliability and performance codes, requiring regulated utilities to report regularly on poor-performing circuits and propose investments for improvements. Other states require regulated utilities to make filings related to proposed grid modernization investments. A growing number of states are beginning to consider comprehensive distribution system planning processes. As this report highlights, approaches vary significantly from state to state, in part stemming from differences in electricity market structure. States can learn from each other and tailor successful approaches to their unique circumstances. Reviewing the broad range of legislative and public utility commission activities described in this report is a useful starting point.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Analysis of Large- Capacity Water Heaters in Electric Thermal Storage Programs

This report documents a national impact analysis of large tank heat pump water heaters (HPWH) in electric thermal storage (ETS) programs and conveys the findings related to concerns raised by utilities regarding the ability of large-tank heat pump water heaters to provide electric thermal storage services.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗