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Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Publications and source records attributed to Coakley, J. A., Jr..

At least 19 records

Sensitivity of Stratocumulus Optical Depths to Droplet Concentrations: Satellite Observations and Large-Eddy Simulations

A number of observations and simulations have shown that increased droplet concentrations in ship tracks increase their total cross-sectional area, thereby enhancing cloud albedo and providing a negative (cooling) radiative forcing at the surface and the top of the atmosphere. In some cases cloud water has been found to be enhanced in ship tracks, which has been attributed to suppression of drizzle and implies an enhanced susceptibility of cloud albedo to droplet concentrations. However, observations from aircraft and satellite indicate that on average cloud water is instead reduced in daytime ship tracks. Such a reduction in liquid water may be attributable to cloud-burning caused by solar heating by soot within the ship exhaust, or by increased precipitation resulting from giant nuclei in the ship exhaust. We will summarize the observational evidence and present results from large-eddy simulations that evaluate these mechanisms. Along the way we will present our insights into the interpretation of satellite retrievals of cloud microphysical properties.

Ackerman, A. S.

Enhancement of Cloud Cover and Suppression of Nocturnal Drizzle in Stratocumulus Polluted by Haze

Recent satellite observations indicate a significant decrease of cloud water in ship tracks, in contrast to an ensemble of in situ ship-track measurements that show no average change in cloud water relative to the surrounding clouds. We find through large-eddy simulations of stratocumulus that the trend in the satellite data is likely an artifact of sampling only overcast clouds. The simulations instead show cloud cover increasing with droplet concentrations. Our simulations also show that increases in cloud water from drizzle suppression (by increasing droplet concentrations) are favored at night or at extremely low droplet concentrations.

Ackerman, Andrew S.

Reduction of Cloud Water in Ship Tracks: Observations and Large-Eddy Simulations

Ship tracks represent a natural laboratory to study the effects of aerosols on clouds. A number of observations and simulations have shown that increased droplet concentrations in ship tracks increase their total cross-sectional area, thereby enhancing cloud albedo and providing a negative radiative forcing at the surface and the top of the atmosphere. In some cases, cloud water has been found to be enhanced in ship tracks, which has been attributed to suppression of drizzle and implies an enhanced susceptibility of cloud albedo to droplet concentrations. However, more recently compiled observations indicate that cloud water is instead reduced in daytime ship tracks on average. Such a response is consistent with cloud-burning due to solar absorption by soot (the semi-direct radiative forcing of aerosols), recently suggested to be suppressing trade cumulus cloud coverage over the Indian Ocean. We will summarize observational evidence and present large-eddy simulations that consider these competing mechanisms in the effects of aerosols on cloud albedo.

Ackerman, A. S.

Climate forcing by anthropogenic aerosols

Although long considered to be of marginal importance to global climate change, tropospheric aerosol contributes substantially to radiative forcing, and anthropogenic sulfate aerosol, in particular, has imposed a major perturbation to this forcing. Both the direct scattering of short-wavelength solar radiation and the modification of the shortwave reflective properties of clouds by sulfate aerosol particles increase planetary albedo, thereby exerting a cooling influence on the planet. Current climate forcing due to anthropogenic sulfate is estimated to be -1 to -2 watts per square meter, globally averaged. This perturbation is comparable in magnitude to current anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing but opposite in sign. Thus, the aerosol forcing has likely offset global greenhouse warming to a substantial degree. However, differences in geographical and seasonal distributions of these forcings preclude any simple compensation. Aerosol effects must be taken into account in evaluating anthropogenic influences on past, current, and projected future climate and in formulating policy regarding controls on emission of greenhouse gases and sulfur dioxide. Resolution of such policy issues requires integrated research on the magnitude and geographical distribution of aerosol climate forcing and on the controlling chemical and physical processes.

Charlson, R. J.

Comparison of observed and modeled longwave radiances

Calculated LW radiances based on NMC profiles of temperature and humidities for the month of July 1985 are obtained using standard procedures for performing radiative transfer calculations, and are within 3 percent (against a standard deviation of 4 percent) for global daytime land comparsions and within 1 percent (against a standard deviation of 1.5 percent) for a case study located over North America. The calculated values over the global data set show a slight trend with the surface temperature, and since there is no obvious trend with the column amount of water vapor, it is argued that the trend with temperature is evidence that absorption by other components (i.e., CO2O3 and other trace gases not included in these calculations) in the model could be improved.

Stone, Kenneth

Observed reflectivities and liquid water content for marine stratocumulus

Simultaneous observations of cloud liquid water content and cloud reflectivity are used to verify their parametric relationship in a manner consistent with simple parameterizations often used in general-circulation climate models. The column amount of cloud liquid water was measured with a microwave radiometer on San Nicolas Island as described by Hogg et al., (1983). Cloud reflectivity was obtained through spatial coherence analysis of AVHRR imagery data as per Coakley and Baldwin (1984) and Coakley and Beckner (1988). The dependence of the observed reflectivity on the observed liquid water is discussed, and this empirical relationship is compared with the parameterization proposed by Stephens (1978).

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

The effect of cloud sides on reflected solar radiation as deduced from satellite observations

The observation of a feature that is characteristic of the reflection of solar radiation from absorbing finite clouds is reported. When absorption takes place, more radiation can be reflected by broken cloud fields than by extensive unbroken cloud fields. This feature is observed in solar radiation at 3.7 microns reflected by low-level, single-layered systems of water clouds over the Pacific Ocean. Interpreting the effect as due to geometrical factors, it is noted that absorption causes the reflected radiances to be highly anisotropic, so that they are generally greater from the sun-facing cloud sides than from the cloud tops. Diffusive leakage of radiation through the cloud sides is also reduced, and as a result maximum reflectivities occur in situations that maximize the contributions to the reflected radiation from the sides relative to that from the tops. Interpreting the effect as due to changes in liquid water content and cloud droplet sizes, it is noted that the observations at 0.63, 3.7, and 11 microns are consistent with a cloud model in which the liquid water content and droplet sizes are greater in the cloud centers and smaller at their edges. Theoretical calculations that qualitatively support both interpretations are presented.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Intercomparison of independent estimates of cloud properties from simultaneous satellite observations

Preliminary results are reported from comparisons between two techniques for determining the cloud cover fraction within a satellite remote sensing scene. One method (PRM) quantifies cloud-free and cloud-filled areas on the bases of physical relationships between temperature, humidity, cloud optical properties and emitted radiation. The other approach (RSSM) derives the fractional cover from the spatial structure of radiances detected by the sensor. The HIRS (PRM) and the AVHRR (RSSM) instruments, tuned to IR wavelengths, on the TIROS-N polar-orbiting satellite furnished the trial data. Sample results are provided from scans at 15 and 11 microns over the Pacific Ocean.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Effects of sensor spatial resolution on cloud properties retrieved from imagery data

Techniques being applied to test the sensitivity of the physical characteristics of clouds, as determined by remote sensing, to the spatial resolution of the scans are described. The sensitivity is being evaluated with an error assessment of data from the AVHRR instrument on Nimbus-7. A spatial coherence analysis is being applied to AVHRR data for a 250 sq km region in the Pacific off the Mexican coast. Errors in the derived cloud cover and radiances from which cloud-free regions and cloud-covered regions are being estimated on the basis of radiance values in pixel-sized areas.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Effects of instrument characteristics on cloud properties retrieved from satellite imagery data

The relationships between sensor resolution and derived cloud properties in satellite remote sensing were studied by comparisons of cloud characteristics determined by spatial coherence analysis of AVHRR and GOES data. The latter data were simulated from 11 microns AVHRR data and were assigned a resolution (8 sq km) half that of the AVHRR. Day and nighttime passes were considered for single-layer maritime cloud systems. Sample radiance vs local standard deviation plots of 1024 points are provided for the same area from AVHRR and GOES-East sensors, demonstrating a qualitative agreement.

Baldwin, D. G.

ERBE bidirectional model consistency check

A short analysis is presented of Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) errors inherent in the directional models used for data interpretation. The models were all developed on the basis of experience with the Nimbus-7 ERB experiment, which had a spatial resolution one-third that of ERBE instrumentation. A pseudo-directional model is defined to simulate the ERBE scanner data, using the assumptions that the average radiant exitance for any particular scene is independent of the viewing geometry, geographic location and time the data is collected. The directionality of the view angle and solar zenith angle is accounted for by a method of bins.

Baldwin, D. G.

Outlook for research on subtropical marine stratiform clouds

A detailed description of the goals and methodology of the First International Satellite Cloud Cover Project Regional Experiment (FIRE) is presented. The purpose of the experiment is to develop physical models and parameterizations of fractional cloud cover over the Pacific Basin. In order to determine fractional cloud cover parameters, satellite observations by radar and lidar instruments will be combined with in situ measurements of the cloud-capped marine boundary layer. A description of a candidate experiment for the program is presented, and some general problems connected with the statistical characterization of satellite imagery are discussed.

Randall, D. A.

Towards the objective analysis of clouds from satellite imagery data

It is suspected that clouds play a major role in climate dynamics. However, conclusive studies regarding the effects related to the cloud cover appear difficult because there is a lack of objective data. The present investigation is concerned with an objective scheme for deriving clouds and their properties from satellite imagery data for the oceans. The objective analysis makes use of the spatial coherence method for retrieving cloud cover from satellite imagery data. This method has advantages over other techniques often applied to imagery data. It is not necessary that clouds fill completely the observing instrument's field-of-view, and a priori or satellite derived knowledge of the cloud radiative properties is not needed.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Properties of multilayered cloud systems from satellite imagery

The spatial coherence method for obtaining fractional cloud cover from satellite imagery is extended to the case of multilayered cloud systems. Examples are presented in which simultaneous observations at 3.7 microns and 11 microns are used to solve a system of linear equations for the nonoverlapped fractional cover contributed by each of two layers. The retrieval relies on the assumption that the clouds reside in distinct, well-defined layers and are optically thick at the wavelengths of observation. Simultaneous observations at 3.7 microns and 11 microns of the separate layers indicate that the assumptions are generally valid. Owing to the reflection of solar radiation at 3.7 microns by low-level water clouds, the method is limited to nighttime observations.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Cloud cover from high-resolution scanner data - Detecting and allowing for partially filled fields of view

A new technique is presented for obtaining cloud cover and determining clear sky radiances using high-resolution IR scanner data. The technique, which can be automated, employs the spatial structure of the IR radiance field to identify radiances associated with fields of view that are either free of clouds or completely covered by clouds drawn from one or more distinct layers. The approach is particularly well-suited for determining clear sky radiances over oceans from which sea surface temperatures may be derived. In addition, for single-layered systems, the cloud cover fraction for a given region may be obtained from the clear sky radiance, the completely cloud-covered radiance, and the mean radiance for the region. For such systems the separation of completely covered from partially covered fields of view makes it possible to estimate the errors associated with commonly used threshold techniques for determining cloud cover.

Coakley, J. A., Jr.

Cloud retrieval using infrared sounder data - Error analysis

An error analysis is presented for cloud-top pressure and cloud-amount retrieval using infrared sounder data. Rms and bias errors are determined for instrument noise (typical of the HIRS-2 instrument on Tiros-N) and for uncertainties in the temperature profiles and water vapor profiles used to estimate clear-sky radiances. Errors are determined for a range of test cloud amounts (0.1-1.0) and cloud-top pressures (920-100 mb). Rms errors vary by an order of magnitude depending on the cloud height and cloud amount within the satellite's field of view. Large bias errors are found for low-altitude clouds. These bias errors are shown to result from physical constraints placed on retrieved cloud properties, i.e., cloud amounts between 0.0 and 1.0 and cloud-top pressures between the ground and tropopause levels. Middle-level and high-level clouds (above 3-4 km) are retrieved with low bias and rms errors.

Wielicki, B. A.

Energy balance climate models

An introductory survey of the global energy balance climate models is presented with an emphasis on analytical results. A sequence of increasingly complicated models involving ice cap and radiative feedback processes are solved, and the solutions and parameter sensitivities are studied. The model parameterizations are examined critically in light of many current uncertainties. A simple seasonal model is used to study the effects of changes in orbital elements on the temperature field. A linear stability theorem and a complete nonlinear stability analysis for the models are developed. Analytical solutions are also obtained for the linearized models driven by stochastic forcing elements. In this context the relation between natural fluctuation statistics and climate sensitivity is stressed.

North, G. R.

Energy-balance climate models

An introductory survey of the global energy balance climate models is presented with an emphasis on analytical results. A sequence of increasingly complicated models involving ice cap and radiative feedback processes are solved and the solutions and parameter sensitivities are studied. The model parameterizations are examined critically in light of many current uncertainties. A simple seasonal model is used to study the effects of changes in orbital elements on the temperature field. A linear stability theorem and a complete nonlinear stability analysis for the models are developed. Analytical solutions are also obtained for the linearized models driven by stochastic forcing elements. In this context the relation between natural fluctuation statistics and climate sensitivity is stressed.

North, G. R.