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Cecile S. Rousseaux

Publications and source records attributed to Cecile S. Rousseaux.

Reports From EXPORTS Modeling and Data-Mining Activities

EXPORTS -EXport Processes in the Ocean from RemoTe Sensing is NASA’s large field campaign focusing on development of a predictive understanding of the export, fate and carbon cycle impacts of the global net primary production. This co-funded program (NSF, private funding1, and international participation) was conceived in 2013, with EXPORTS Science plan published in 2016 (Siegel et al 2016, EXPORTS Writing Team 2015) and its implementation plan finalized in 2016 (EXPORTS Science Definition Team 2016). More details are presented in Siegel et al (2021). EXPORTS campaign is structured as a multiyear effort (Figure 1). It started with “Pre-EXPORTS” modeling and data-mining activity followed by a first phase with two major field programs and a second synthesis and modeling phase. The “Pre-EXPORTS” projects, total of 6 of them (Table 1), funded under A.3 Ocean Biology and Biogeochemistry 2015 call, helped to plan the field campaign (Resplandy et al 2019, Rousseaux & Gregg 2017), and supporting further global synthesis with datasets mined from the literature (e.g. Bisson et al (2020), Bisson et al (2018), Kramer and Siegel (2019)), directly responding to objectives outlined in Science Plan (see section 6 in Team (2015)) and Implementation team (see Figure 1 in Team (2016)). This document presents a compilation of the final reports of the Pre-EXPORTS funded projects, in hope of synthesizing the outcomes, and insuring the legacy of this program. Each of these reports contains a list of published papers, and reader should refer to them to see results in details.

Brandi J. McCarty↗

Assessing the Skills of a Seasonal Forecast of Chlorophyll in the Global Pelagic Oceans

While forecasts of atmospheric variables, and to a lesser degree ocean circulation, are relatively common, the forecast of biogeochemical conditions is still in its infancy. Using a dynamical ocean biogeochemical forecast forced by seasonal forecasts of atmospheric and physical ocean variables, we produce seasonal predictions of chlorophyll concentration at the global scale. Results show significant Anomaly Correlation Coefficients (ACCs) for the majority of regions (11 out of the 12 regions for the 1-month lead forecast). Root mean square errors are smaller (<0.05μg chlorophyll (chl) L−1) in the Equatorial regions compared to the higher latitudes(range from 0.05 up to 0.13 μg chl L−1). The forecast for all regions except three (North Atlantic, South Pacific and North Indian) are within the Semi-Interquartile Range of the satellite chlorophyll concentration (Suomi-National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP), 27.9%). This suggests the potential for skillful global biogeochemical forecasts on seasonal timescales of chlorophyll, primary production and harmful algal blooms that could support fisheries management and other applications.

ocean biogeochemistry↗