Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Brasseur, G..
This paper examines the computing technology requirements - both hardware and software - that result from such prediction systems.
Our first intercomparison/assessment of the effects of a proposed high-speed civil transport (HSCT) fleet on the stratosphere is presented. These model calculations should be considered more as sensitivity studies, primarily designed to serve the following purposes: (1) to allow for intercomparison of model predictions; (2) to focus on the range of fleet operations and engine specifications giving minimal environmental impact; and (3) to provide the basis for future assessment studies. The basic scenarios were chosen to be as realistic as possible, using the information available on anticipated developments in technology. They are not to be interpreted as a commitment or goal for environmental acceptability.
This paper describes a two-dimensional model of the Martian atmosphere, in which chemical, radiative and dynamical processes are treated interactively. The model is developed for a carbon dioxide-hydrogen-oxygen-nitrogen atmosphere and provides estimates of concentrations for 19 chemical species. The dynamical equations are expressed in the transformed Eulerian coordinates. The wave driving and eddy mixing coefficients resulting from gravity and Rossby wave absorption are computed consistently with the evolving distribution of the mean zonal wind. The net diabatic heating/cooling rate is derived from a detailed radiative scheme including the contributions of CO2, O3, H2O and O2, and is computed consistently with the calculated distribution of temperature and trace species quantities. The computed temperature field as well as the meridional and seasonal variations of ozone column abundance are in good agreement with the distributions observed by Mariner 9 and Viking spacecrafts and the results obtained by previous studies. The present version of the model does not include the effects of dust, clouds and polar hood and only the chemistry in a dust-free atmosphere is considered.
A new two-dimensional model of the stratosphere and the mesosphere was formulated in transformed Eulerian coordinates, in which dynamics, radiation, and chemistry are treated interactively. The model includes a detailed radiative scheme which derives the diabatic heating rates consistently with calculated distributions of temperature and trace species densities. Results are presented on the present-day and perturbed atmosphere, showing that the calculated distributions of source gases, such as nitrous oxide and methane, are very sensitive to the calculated (and parameterized) dynamical quantities, and that species produced in the atmosphere, like carbon monoxide and odd nitrogen, can provide valuable information on the role of atmospheric transport.
In order to understand the impact of man made chemicals on the atmospheric ozone layer, it is essential to develop models that can perform long term predictions of future ozone changes. An advantage of using two dimensional models is that they can be used to predict latitudinal and seasonal changes in ozone. The formulation and recent improvements are described in 2-D models, which are used herein, along with the three dimensional models that are currently being developed to better simulate transport of chemically active trace gases, especially in polar regions. The range in 2-D model calculations is described. Selected fields calculated by these models are compared with observations. A number of scenarios have been defined, which encompass possible emission rates of different halocarbons. Because of the large uncertainties in the rates for heterogeneous processes, the calculated responses of the models include only the effects of homogeneous chemistry. One important distinction among the models is their ability to account for temperature feedbacks on the calculated ozone changes.
The purpose is to identify major discrepancies between empirical models and theoretical models and to stress the need for additional observations in the atmosphere and for further laboratory work, since these differences suggest either problems associated with observation techniques or errors in chemical kinetics data (or the existence of unknown processes which appear to play an important role). The model used for this investigation extends from the earth's surface to the lower thermosphere. It includes the important chemical and photochemical processes related to the oxygen, hydrogen, carbon, nitrogen and chlorine families. The chemical code is coupled with a radiative scheme which provides the heating rate due to absorption of solar radiation by ozone and the cooling rate due to the emission and absorption of terrestrial radiation by CO2, H2O and O3. The vertical transport of the species is expressed by an eddy diffusion parameterization.
The effects of solar UV variability on ozone and temperature are studied using Nimbus 7 stratospheric and mesospheric ozone, temperature, and 205-nm solar UV data, and Solar Mesosphere Explorer 1.27-micron ozone and 121.6-nm solar UV data. Consideration is given to the temperature/UV relation, the O3/UV relation with and without temperature feedback, and the responses of HNO3 and NO2 to solar UV variability. It is observed that the response times of temperature to solar UV variability are 6 days at 2 mbar and 1 day at 0.01 mbar. The stratospheric ozone response (with no correction for temperature effects) increases, while in the mesosphere a decrease is detected. The responses of ozone and temperature to solar variability are examined and calculated using a one-dimensional chemical-radiative time-dependent model. The comparison of the model results with the satellite-observed responses reveals generally good correlation between the data; however, the model predicts a larger time lag of the temperature response and a larger stratospheric HNO3 mixing ratio than the satellite data. It is noted that the relation between short-term variations in the solar UV radiation and stratospheric ozone is affected by the coupling between ozone and temperature.
The response of the atmosphere to emissions of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other chlorocarbons, and to increasing concentrations of other radiatively active trace gases such as CO2, CH4, and N2O is calculated by a coupled chemical-radiative transport one-dimensional model. It is shown that significant reductions in the ozone concentration and in the temperature are expected in the upper stratosphere as a result of increasing concentrations of active chlorine produced by photodecomposition of the CFCs. The ozone content is expected to increase in the troposphere, as a consequence of increasing concentrations of methane and nitrogen oxides. Due to enhanced greenhouse effects, the Earth's surface should warm up by several degrees. The amplitude and even the sign of future changes in the ozone column are difficult to predict as they are strongly scenario-dependent. An early detection system to prevent noticeable ozone changes as a result of increasing concentrations of source gases should thus be based on a continuous monitoring of the ozone amount in the upper stratosphere rather than on measurements of the ozone column only. Measurements of NOx, Clx, and HOx are also required for unambiguous trend detection and interpretation.
In a simple three-dimensional primitive equation model, a wave number 1 major stratospheric warming is simulated. With the aid of two idealized tracers it is shown that the transport during a major warming event is characterized by a small, well-organized tongue of subtropical air flowing around the displaced winter vortex into the polar cap and by a wide area with strong quasi-horizontal mixing (surf zone). The description of these dynamical processes requires a full three-dimensional space resolution.
It is pointed out that variations in the solar ultraviolet irradiance with a period equal to or approximately one-half of the rotation period of the sun are currently observed by satellite monitoring. Information regarding the response of stratospheric species to solar ultraviolet variability is indispensable for an understanding of the photochemical behavior of the middle atmosphere. Relations are considered between LIMS (limb infrared monitor of the stratosphere) measurements of HNO3 and NO2, and the SBUV (solar backscatter ultraviolet) measurements of short-term variations in 205-nm radiation. It is found that the response of HNO3 is much stronger than, but in the opposite sense to the ozone response, while the NO2 response is in the opposite sense to the HNO3 response. Model calculations predict large variations in HNO3 over the 11-yr solar cycle.
Sudden warmings which are currently observed in the winter stratosphere are believed to be due to the upward propagation of planetary waves originating in the troposphere. Major warmings are characterized by local increases of the temperature in a deep layer beyond the stratopause, with values of the order of 50 K at 10 mbar appearing over a short period of time and leading to significant changes in the rate constant of several chemical reactions. During such events, the dynamical fields in the stratosphere are completely altered, so that dramatic changes in the transport of trace constituents are expected. Preliminary results of a 3-D model simulation of the ozone behavior during winter in connection with the appearance of stratospheric warmings are reported. The middle stratosphere (12 mbar or approximately 32 km) where the chemical lifetime of odd oxygen is quite long, and consequently, transport plays a major role is emphasized.
The spatial distribution of ozone, as predicted by numerical models, is compared with observations. A set of reference ozone profiles was developed against which to compare current numerical calculations. Most of the analyses will focus on ozone between 30 and 70 km altitude.
Total odd nitrogen, NO(y), may be defined as the sum of all active nitrogen species that interchange photochemically with one another on a time scale of the order of weeks or less. As noted, NO + NO2 reactions dominate the processes controlling the ozone balance in the contemporary stratosphere. The observational data from non-satellite platforms are reviewed. The growth in available satellite data in the past four years is considered. Some of the most important scientific issues are discussed, taking into account new results from atmospheric models (mainly 2-D). The model results are compared with the observational data.
In order to understand the lower ionosphere and its probable control by dynamical processes, the behavior of nitric oxide below 100 km was investigated. A two dimensional model with coupled chemical and dynamical processes was constructed. Calculations based on the model reveal that the chemical conditions at the stratopause are related to the state of the thermosphere. This coupling mechanism can be partly explained by the downward transport of nitric oxide during the winter season, and consequently depends on the dynamical conditions in the mesosphere and in the lower thermosphere (mean circulation and waves). In summer, the photodissociation of nitric oxide plays an important role and the thermospheric NO abundance modulates the radiation field reaching the upper stratosphere. Perturbations in the nitric oxide concentration above the mesopause could therefore have an impact in the vicinity of the stratopause.