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Bernstein, Andrey

Publications and source records attributed to Bernstein, Andrey.

118 records · Page 7
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DOE OSTI2019

A Model for Joint Probabilistic Forecast of Solar Photovoltaic Power and Outdoor Temperature

In this paper, a stochastic model is proposed for a joint statistical description of solar photovoltaic (PV) power and outdoor temperature. The underlying correlation emerges from solar irradiance that is responsible in part for both the variability in solar PV power and temperature. The proposed model can be used to capture the uncertainty in solar PV power and its correlation with the electric power consumption of thermostatically controlled loads. First, a model for solar PV power that explicitly incorporates the stochasticity due to clouds via a regime-switching process between the three classes of sunny , overcast and partly cloudy is proposed. Then, the relationship between temperature and solar power is postulated using a second-order Volterra model. This joint modeling is leveraged to develop a joint probabilistic forecasting method for solar PV power and temperature. Real-world datasets that include solar PV power and temperature measurements in California are analyzed and the effectiveness of the joint model in providing probabilistic forecasts is verified. The proposed forecasting methodology outperforms several reference methods thus portraying that the underlying correlation between temperature and solar PV power is well defined and only requires a simple lower-complexity sampling space.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Robust Matrix Completion State Estimation in Distribution Systems: Preprint

Due to the insufficient measurements in the distribution system state estimation (DSSE), full observability and redundant measurements are difficult to achieve without using the pseudo measurements. The matrix completion state estimation (MCSE) combines the matrix completion and power system model to estimate voltage by exploring the low-rank characteristics of the matrix. This paper proposes a robust matrix completion state estimation (RMCSE) to estimate the voltage in a distribution system under a low-observability condition. Tradition state estimation weighted least squares (WLS) method requires full observability to calculate the states and needs redundant measurements to proceed a bad data detection. The proposed method improves the robustness of the MCSE to bad data by minimizing the rank of the matrix and measurements residual with different weights. It can estimate the system state in a low-observability system and has robust estimates without the bad data detection process in the face of multiple bad data. The method is numerically evaluated on the IEEE 33-node radial distribution system. The estimation performance and robustness of RMCSE are compared with the WLS with the largest normalized residual bad data identification (WLS-LNR), and the MCSE.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Sample Complexity of Power System State Estimation using Matrix Completion: Preprint

In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to quantify the amount of data samples needed to obtain accurate state estimation in a power system-a problem known as \emph{sample complexity} analysis in computer science. Motivated by the increasing adoption of distributed energy resources into the distribution-level grids, it becomes imperative to estimate the state of distribution grids in order to ensure stable operation. Traditional power system state estimation techniques mainly focus on the transmission network which involve solving an overdetermined system and eliminating bad data. However, distribution networks are typically \emph{underdetermined} due to the large number of connection points and high cost of pervasive installation of measurement devices. In this paper, we consider the recently proposed state-estimation method for underdetermined systems that is based on \emph{matrix completion}. In particular, a \emph{constrained} matrix completion algorithm was proposed, wherein the standard matrix completion problem is augmented with additional equality constraints representing the physics (namely power-flow constraints). We analyze the sample complexity of this general method by proving an upper bound on the sample complexity that depends directly on the properties of these constraints that can lower number of needed samples as compared to the unconstrained problem. To demonstrate the improvement that the constraints add to state estimation, we test the method on a 141-bus distribution network case study and compare it to the traditional least squares minimization state estimation method.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Dynamic Power Network State Estimation with Asynchronous Measurements: Preprint

The operation of distribution networks is becoming increasingly volatile, due to fast variations of renewables and, hence, net-loading conditions. To perform a reliable state estimation under these conditions, this paper considers the case where measurements from meters, phasor measurement units, and distributed energy resources are collected and processed in real time to produce estimates of the state at a fast time scale. Streams of measurements collected in real time and at heterogenous rates render the underlying processing asynchronous, and poses severe strains on workhorse state estimation algorithms. In this work, a real-time state estimation algorithm is proposed, where data are processed on the fly. Starting from a regularized least-squares model, and leveraging appropriate linear models, the proposed scheme boils down to a linear dynamical system where the state is updated based on the previous estimate and on the measurement gathered from a few available sensors. The estimation error is shown to be always bounded under mild condition. Numerical simulations are provided to corroborate the analytical findings.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Toward Robustness Guarantees for Feedback-Based Optimization

NREL researcher Andrey Bernstein discusses the move toward robustness guarantees for feedback-based optimization as part of the Innovative Optimization and Control Methods for Highly Distributed Autonomous Systems workshop. NREL hosted the workshop to exchange ideas on state-of-the-art control and optimization strategies as well as get feedback on work being done at NREL.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Asynchronous and Distributed Tracking of Time-Varying Fixed Points

NREL researcher Andrey Bernstein discusses asynchronous and distributed tracking of time-varying fixed points as part of the Innovative Optimization and Control Methods for Highly Distributed Autonomous Systems workshop. NREL hosted the workshop to exchange ideas on state-of-the-art control and optimization strategies as well as get feedback on work being done at NREL.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Distributed Reinforcement Learning with ADMM-RL

NREL researcher Peter Graf discusses distributed reinforcement learning with ADMM-RL as part of the Innovative Optimization and Control Methods for Highly Distributed Autonomous Systems workshop. NREL hosted the workshop to exchange ideas on state-of-the-art control and optimization strategies as well as get feedback on work being done at NREL.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Real-Time Feedback-Based Optimization of Distribution Grids: A Unified Approach

This paper develops an algorithmic framework for real-time optimization of distribution-level distributed energy resources (DERs). The framework optimizes the operation of both DERs that are individually controllable and groups of DERs (i.e., aggregations) that are jointly controlled at an electrical point of connection. From an electrical standpoint, wye and delta single- and multi-phase connections are accounted for. The algorithm enables (groups of) DERs to pursue given performance objectives, while adjusting their (aggregate) powers to respond to services requested by grid operators and to maintain electrical quantities within engineering limits. The design of the algorithm leverages a time-varying bi-level problem formulation capturing various performance objectives and engineering constraints, and an online implementation of primal-dual projected-gradient methods. The gradient steps are suitably modified to accommodate appropriate measurements from the distribution network and the DERs. Stability and convergence claims are established in terms of tracking of the solution of the time-varying optimization problem. Finally, the method is tested in a realistic distribution.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2019

Real-Time Identifiability of Power Distribution Network Topologies With Limited Monitoring

Recovering the distribution grid topology in real time is essential to perform several distribution system operator (DSO) functions. DSOs often do not have any direct monitoring of switch statuses to track reconfiguration. At the same time, installing real-time meters at a large number of buses is challenging due to the cost of endowing every metered bus with a real-time communication channel. The goal of this letter is to develop a meter placement strategy allowing DSOs to deploy only few real-time meters. After casting the topology recovery task as an optimization problem, a meter placement strategy ensuring unique recovery of the true topology is devised. A graph-theoretical approach is pursued to partition the grid into connected portions called observable islands . The proposed strategy then simply requires installing a meter in the path between every pair of boundary nodes , i.e., ends of edges connecting two different islands. Under some ideal assumptions, this placement strategy ensures unique recovery of the topology. The approach is also validated through numerical simulations under realistic scenarios using a standard IEEE benchmark feeder.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗