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Althea Moorhead

Publications and source records attributed to Althea Moorhead.

At least 19 records

The 2025 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for Low Earth Orbit

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity in low Earth orbit (LEO). Most annual showers are expected to display typical activity, but the October Draconids and possibly the Andromedids are forecast to exhibit significant outbursts in activity. The eta Aquariids are expected to return to normal this year, after two years of increased rates.

meteoroid

The 2024 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for the Lunar Surface

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity on the lunar surface. While the predictions in this document are for the surface, spacecraft orbiting the Moon at low altitudes will encounter meteoroids at similar rates. Most annual showers are expected to display typical activity, but the eta Aquariids (ETA) are once again expected to exhibit more than double their typical activity level. A complete discussion of expected meteor shower activity in 2024 is available in the meteor shower activity forecast for low Earth orbit.

Althea Moorhead

Cloud Computing Option for Modeling the Debris Environment

NASA’s Digital Transformation Initiative aims to promote the agency’s adoption of current and evolving digital technologies. Through agency-wide collaboration with other NASA teams, the Office of Safety and Mission Assurance (OSMA) has directed the Orbital Debris Program Office and the Meteoroid Environment Office to integrate cloud computing technologies into their publicly released software models: the Orbital Debris Engineering Model (ORDEM) and the Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM). Decoupling the user interface from the backend processor was key for the software packages to run on a cloud computing framework. Benefits to this design include horizontal scaling of computing resources, user authentication and authorization, and automated deployment. Both models are hosted on a cloud computing platform supported by the NASA authorized IT security and compliance framework. This paper focuses on the new ORDEM web application, which includes the current features of the publicly released ORDEM software with an upgraded frontend design, although parallels between ORDEM and MEM are also discussed. The underlying ORDEM processor is run on a cloud container, allowing the user to run multiple spacecraft and telescope/radar mode simulations. Features exclusive to the ORDEM web application, such as importing multiple TLEs, auto-generated plotting, and the ability to check runtime progress are discussed. Comparisons between the current ORDEM software and the web application are summarized.

Andrew Vavrin

The 2024 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for Low Earth Orbit

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity in low Earth orbit (LEO). Most annual showers are expected to display typical activity, but the eta Aquariids (ETA) are once again expected to exhibit more than double their typical activity level.

Althea Moorhead

Possible shower outburst in December 2023 associated with comet 46P/Wirtanen

This document supplements the 2023 meteor shower activity forecast for low Earth orbit. We advise spacecraft operators that a possible shower outburst associated with comet 46P/Wirtanen is predicted for December 12, 2023, two days prior to the Geminid peak. If the outburst occurs, activity will be brief but could rival that of the Geminid meteor shower at small particle sizes

Althea Moorhead

The 2023 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for the Lunar Surface

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity on the lunar surface. While the predictions in this document are for the surface, spacecraft orbiting the Moon at low altitudes will encounter meteoroids at similar rates. Most annual showers are expected to display typical activity, but the eta Aquariids (ETA) are expected to display more than double their typical activity level. A complete discussion of expected meteor shower activity in 2023 is available in the meteor shower activity forecast for low Earth orbit [1].

Althea Moorhead

The 2023 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for Low Earth Orbit

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity in low Earth orbit (LEO). Most annual showers are expected to display typical activity, but the eta Aquariids (ETA) are expected to display more than double their typical activity level.

Althea Moorhead

Review of the MeMoSeE Lunar Meteoroid Ejecta Model

The NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) Lunar Meteoroid Ejecta Model Review assessment team was tasked with reviewing the proposed lunar ejecta model Meteoroid Model of Secondary Ejecta (MeMoSeE), developed at Marshall Space Flight Center, and to review the model inputs to the SLS-SPEC-159 Cross-Program Design Specification for Natural Environments document to be used by NASA’s Exploration Systems Development and Artemis Programs for future lunar surface system design. This report contains the outcome of the NESC assessment.

Meteoroid Model of Secondary Ejecta

The 2022 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for the Lunar Surface

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity on the lunar surface. While the predictions in this document are for the surface, spacecraft orbiting the Moon at low altitudes will encounter meteoroids at similar rates. The annual showers are expected to display typical activity, with lower than usual activity from the Perseids. Some modelers report possible outbursts of the tau Herculid and Leonid showers in 2022, but there is no consensus on the strength of these outbursts.

Althea Moorhead

The 2022 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for Low Earth Orbit

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity in low Earth orbit (LEO). The annual showers are expected to display typical activity, with lower than usual activity from the Perseids. Some modelers report possible outbursts of the tau Herculid and Leonid showers in 2022, but there is no consensus on the strength of these outbursts.

Althea Moorhead

The 2021 Meteor Shower Activity Forecast for the Lunar South Pole

The purpose of this document is to provide a forecast of major meteor shower activity at the lunar south pole. Most major showers are expected to exhibit typical activity, but the "Finlayids'' (a possible new shower originating from comet 15P/Finlay) may produce an outburst. The Andromedid and Aurigid showers may also outburst in 2021, but these showers are not visible from the lunar south pole.

Althea Moorhead

The Ratio of Debris- to Meteoroid-Induced Damage in Near-Earth Space

Orbital debris poses a substantial threat to many Earth-orbiting spacecraft, particularly those near Sun-synchronous altitudes. Man-made debris is not equally prevalent at all altitudes, however; geostationary satellites likely experience more damage from meteoroid impacts than from debris. We have conducted a comparison between debris- and meteoroid-induced damage on cubic aluminum spacecraft orbiting the Earth at a variety of altitudes and orbital inclinations using NASA's latest models of these environments: ORDEM 3.1 and MEM 3. We use the results to determine in which regions the risk is debris- or meteoroid-dominated, and find that debris dominates the risk between altitudes of about 600 and 1300 km above the Earth, while meteoroids dominate at altitudes less than 270 km or greater than 4800 km.

Althea Moorhead

Fully debiased meteor radiants and speeds and their constraints on dynamical models

The sporadic meteoroid environment displays distinct groupings of meteoroid orbits that are referred to as the sporadic "sources." These sources are linked to different dynamical classes of parent bodies; for instance, the so-called helion and anti-helion sources are attributed to Jupiter-family comets. Because the sporadic sources have different orbital distributions and thus encounter the Earth's atmosphere at different speeds, meteor observing biases tend to obscure the relative contributions of the sporadic sources to the overall meteoroid flux. We present a de-biased map of both meteoroid radiants and speeds and compare this map with two meteoroid dynamical models: Jones (2004) and Wiegert et al. (2009).

Althea Moorhead

Modeling the Meteoroid Environment Far from the Ecliptic Plane

NASA's Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) is a piece of software that describes the meteoroid environment encountered by spacecraft in the inner solar system. MEM's algorithms take advantage of the fact that the vast majority of spacecraft remain close to the ecliptic plane in order to make several simplifying assumptions. However, this results in a model that cannot describe the environment for spacecraft such as Ulysses that travel far from the ecliptic, and limits the potential to validate the model using impact signatures from asteroids on inclined orbits. We present a new version of the code, numbered 3.1-alpha, that correctly computes the meteoroid flux and directionality far from the ecliptic, and compare our results with zodiacal light data.

Althea Moorhead